Development and validation of a prognostic nomogram incorporating neutrophil-to-albumin ratio for predicting overall survival in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma undergoing concurrent chemoradiotherapy.

BACKGROUND

Recent research suggests that the emerging neutrophil-albumin ratio (NAR) has a significant correlation with the survival outcomes across a range of tumors, yet its predictive significance for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) remains insufficiently investigated. This study aimed to evaluate the relationship between the neutrophil-to-albumin ratio (NAR) and overall survival (OS) in patients with NPC, as well as to develop a corresponding prognostic model.

METHODS

This retrospective analysis included 861 NPC patients treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT), who were randomly divided into a training group (n = 605) and a validation group (n = 256). To identify factors associated with OS and construct a prognostic nomogram, both univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed. The nomogram's prognostic accuracy was evaluated and independently validated.

RESULTS

The NAR score successfully segregated NPC patients into two categories with significantly different OS (HR = 0.536; 95 % CI: 0.296-0.972, P = 0.040). Through multivariate analysis, factors such as age, T stage, N stage, and NAR score were identified as independent predictors of OS, leading to the creation of a prognostic nomogram. This nomogram demonstrated superior predictive capability for OS [C-index = 0.702 (95 % CI: 0.636-0.768)], surpassing that of the conventional staging system [C-index = 0.651 (95 % CI: 0.549-0.752)]. The findings underwent internal validation within an independent cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

The NAR, an emergent biomarker combining nutritional and inflammatory status, offers a practical, low-cost, and non-invasive prognostic measure for NPC patients treated with CCRT. Additionally, the prognostic nomogram derived from NAR surpasses traditional staging systems in predictive accuracy.