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基于美国大量室内测量数据的高分辨率全国氡气地图。

High-resolution national radon maps based on massive indoor measurements in the United States.

作者信息

Li Longxiang, Coull Brent A, Zilli Vieira Carolina L, Koutrakis Petros

机构信息

Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02114.

Gangarosa Department of Environmental Health, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, GA 30322.

出版信息

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2025 Jan 21;122(3):e2408084121. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2408084121. Epub 2025 Jan 14.

Abstract

Radon, a common radioactive indoor air pollutant, is the second leading cause of lung cancer in the United States. Knowledge about its distribution is essential for risk assessment and designing efficient protective regulations. However, the three current radon maps for the United States are unable to provide the up-to-date, high-resolution, and time-varying radon concentrations. Tens of millions of radon measurements have been conducted as parts of property inspections in the past two decades, making it possible for us to improve the national radon map. We compiled a national database of over 6 million radon measurements conducted by independent laboratories during 2001 to 2021. A random forest model was built to predict monthly community-level radon concentrations based on nearly 200 geological, meteorological, architectural, and socioeconomical factors. Our radon map can accurately show the distribution of radon at higher spatial and temporal resolutions. We observed slight decreases in average radon concentrations in high-radon regions during the study period. But over 83 million people are living in residences with radon concentrations at screening floor over 148 Bq/m3 (the recommended action level). Most of these residences are in low-radon zones, highlighting the need for comprehensive radon surveys. The high-resolution radon maps can be used by federal and local governments to design, update, and improve the regulations. Furthermore, the model can be used to assess residential exposure to radon, thus facilitating studies to expand our understanding of radon's health effects.

摘要

氡是室内常见的放射性空气污染物,是美国肺癌的第二大主要致病因素。了解其分布情况对于风险评估和制定有效的防护法规至关重要。然而,美国目前的三张氡气地图无法提供最新的、高分辨率的以及随时间变化的氡气浓度。在过去二十年里,作为房产检查的一部分,已经进行了数千万次氡气测量,这使我们有可能改进全国氡气地图。我们汇编了一个包含2001年至2021年期间由独立实验室进行的600多万次氡气测量数据的全国数据库。基于近200个地质、气象、建筑和社会经济因素,建立了一个随机森林模型来预测社区层面的月度氡气浓度。我们的氡气地图能够以更高的空间和时间分辨率准确显示氡气的分布情况。在研究期间,我们观察到高氡气区域的平均氡气浓度略有下降。但是,超过8300万人居住在筛查楼层氡气浓度超过148贝克勒尔/立方米(建议行动水平)的住宅中。这些住宅大多位于低氡气区域,这凸显了进行全面氡气调查的必要性。高分辨率的氡气地图可供联邦和地方政府用于设计、更新和完善法规。此外,该模型可用于评估居民接触氡气的情况,从而有助于开展研究,加深我们对氡气对健康影响的理解。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f5d1/11759897/21ebc97da9e4/pnas.2408084121fig01.jpg

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