Du Min, Deng Jie, Yan Wenxin, Liu Min, Liang Wannian, Niu Ben, Liu Jue
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, No.38, Xueyuan Road, Haidian District, Beijing 100191, China.
Vanke School of Public Health, No.30, Shuangqing Road, Haidian District, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China.
EClinicalMedicine. 2024 Dec 31;80:103047. doi: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.103047. eCollection 2025 Feb.
Vaccination hesitancy poses a serious threat to mpox vaccination programs. Historically, vaccine uptake in the African region has been low, and this trend may impact future vaccination efforts. Our aim was to investigate the relationships between mpox vaccination hesitancy, immunisation coverage for other vaccines, and vaccination readiness among African adults.
A multinational commercial web panel survey was conducted among 1832 African adults across six countries (Uganda, Nigeria, Morocco, Egypt, Kenya, and South Africa) from October 1 to October 10, 2024. Mpox vaccination hesitancy for themselves and children was defined as the reluctance to receive vaccines against mpox (if vaccines were available) for themselves and for children (if they had children). Vaccination readiness was assessed via the 7Cs model, which includes confidence, complacency, constraints, calculation, collective responsibility, compliance, and conspiracy. Weighted logistic regression models with the set of calibration sampling weights were used to estimate odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs). The analysis explored the effects of immunisation coverage for other vaccines and vaccination readiness on hesitancy toward mpox vaccination, including mediation and joint relationships. DerSimonian-Laird random-effects meta-analyses were utilised to pool the results from six countries.
The pooled weighted rate of mpox vaccination hesitancy among participants was 32.7% (95% CI: 25.4-40.0, = 91.5%, p < 0.0001) for themselves and 38.9% (95% CI 30.2-47.6, = 93.7%, p < 0.0001) for children. After adjusting for covariates, the absence of immunisation coverage for other vaccines independently increased the risk of mpox vaccination hesitancy for themselves and for children, with a pooled OR of 2.66 (95% CI 1.67-4.26, = 25.8%, p = 0.241) and a pooled OR of 2.16 (95% CI 1.42-3.30, = 0%, p = 0.471), respectively. The pooled mediation proportions of vaccination readiness for the relationship between immunisation coverage for other vaccines and mpox vaccination hesitancy were 15.85% (95% CI 0.64-31.06, = 60.9%, p = 0.703) and 52.53% (95% CI 20.93-84.14, = 0%, p = 0.988) for themselves and for children, respectively. The pooled weighted rate of mpox vaccination hesitancy was highest among individuals with low vaccination readiness and no history of other vaccinations, with a pooled weighted rate of 62.7% (95% CI 44.7-80.7, = 82.8%, p < 0.0001) for themselves and 76.3% (95% CI 66.9-85.7, = 40.6%, p = 0.135) for children. Compared with the reference group (high vaccination readiness and a history of other vaccinations), populations that reported low vaccination readiness and no history of other vaccinations exhibited the highest risk of mpox vaccination hesitancy for themselves (pooled OR 7.83, 95% CI 3.28-18.70, = 63.2%, p = 0.018) and for children (pooled OR 12.55, 95% CI 7.38-21.33, = 0%, p = 0.585), followed by populations that reported low vaccination readiness and a history of other vaccinations (pooled OR for themselves 2.69, 95% CI 1.70-4.26, = 66.7%, p = 0.01; pooled OR for children 4.97, 95% CI 3.66-6.74, = 19.6%, p = 0.286). However, populations that reported high vaccination readiness and no history of other vaccinations demonstrated a higher risk of mpox vaccination hesitancy for themselves (pooled OR 2.28 95% CI 1.05-4.94, = 0%, p = 0.608), but not for children.
Our findings indicate a significant level of hesitancy toward mpox vaccination in the African region. Individuals who have not previously received other vaccines are at a higher risk of refusing to vaccinate against mpox for themselves and for children. However, high vaccination readiness can help mitigate this risk. The study recommends that regions in Africa with low immunisation coverage should continue to enhance vaccination education and improve vaccination readiness to reduce hesitancy and promote the mpox vaccination program.
This work was partly supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant numbers 72122001, 72474005).
疫苗犹豫对猴痘疫苗接种计划构成严重威胁。从历史上看,非洲地区的疫苗接种率一直很低,这一趋势可能会影响未来的疫苗接种工作。我们的目的是调查非洲成年人中猴痘疫苗犹豫、其他疫苗的免疫接种覆盖率以及疫苗接种意愿之间的关系。
2024年10月1日至10日,在六个国家(乌干达、尼日利亚、摩洛哥、埃及、肯尼亚和南非)的1832名非洲成年人中进行了一项跨国商业网络面板调查。对自己和孩子的猴痘疫苗犹豫被定义为(如果有疫苗)自己和孩子(如果有孩子)不愿意接种猴痘疫苗。通过7C模型评估疫苗接种意愿,该模型包括信心、自满、限制、算计、集体责任、依从性和阴谋论。使用带有校准抽样权重集的加权逻辑回归模型来估计比值比(OR)及其95%置信区间(95%CI)。该分析探讨了其他疫苗的免疫接种覆盖率和疫苗接种意愿对猴痘疫苗接种犹豫的影响,包括中介效应和联合关系。采用DerSimonian-Laird随机效应荟萃分析来汇总六个国家的结果。
参与者中,自己对猴痘疫苗犹豫的合并加权率为32.7%(95%CI:25.4 - 40.0,I² = 91.5%,p < 0.0001),孩子的为38.9%(95%CI 30.2 - 47.6,I² = 93.7%,p < 0.0001)。在调整协变量后,其他疫苗无免疫接种覆盖率独立增加了自己和孩子对猴痘疫苗犹豫的风险,合并OR分别为2.66(95%CI 1.67 - 4.26,I² = 25.8%,p = 0.241)和2.16(95%CI 1.42 - 3.30,I² = 0%,p = 0.471)。其他疫苗免疫接种覆盖率与猴痘疫苗接种犹豫之间关系的疫苗接种意愿合并中介比例,自己的为15.85%(95%CI 0.64 - 31.06,I² = 60.9%,p = 0.703),孩子的为52.53%(95%CI 20.93 - 84.14,I² = 0%,p = 0.988)。疫苗接种意愿低且无其他疫苗接种史的个体中,猴痘疫苗犹豫的合并加权率最高,自己的为62.7%(95%CI 44.7 - 80.7,I² = 82.8%,p < 0.0001),孩子的为76.3%(95%CI 66.9 - 85.7,I² = 40.6%,p = 0.135)。与参照组(疫苗接种意愿高且有其他疫苗接种史)相比,报告疫苗接种意愿低且无其他疫苗接种史的人群自己对猴痘疫苗犹豫的风险最高(合并OR 7.83,95%CI 3.28 - 18.70,I² = 63.2%,p = 0.018),孩子的也最高(合并OR 12.55,95%CI 7.38 - 21.33,I² = 0%,p = 0.585),其次是报告疫苗接种意愿低且有其他疫苗接种史的人群(自己的合并OR 2.69,95%CI 1.70 - 4.26,I² = 66.7%,p = 0.01;孩子的合并OR 4.97,95%CI 3.66 - 6.74,I² = 19.6%,p = 0.286)。然而,报告疫苗接种意愿高且无其他疫苗接种史的人群自己对猴痘疫苗犹豫的风险较高(合并OR 2.28 95%CI 1.05 - 4.94,I² = 0%,p = 0.608),但孩子并非如此。
我们的研究结果表明非洲地区对猴痘疫苗存在显著程度的犹豫。以前未接种过其他疫苗的个体自己和孩子拒绝接种猴痘疫苗的风险更高。然而,高疫苗接种意愿有助于降低这种风险。该研究建议非洲免疫接种覆盖率低的地区应继续加强疫苗接种教育,提高疫苗接种意愿,以减少犹豫并推动猴痘疫苗接种计划。
这项工作部分得到了中国国家自然科学基金(批准号72122001、72474005)的支持。