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美国一个乡村州创伤患者死亡率的天气和院前预测因素

Weather and prehospital predictors of trauma patient mortality in a rural American state.

作者信息

Nwanna-Nzewunwa Obieze C, Falank Carolyne, Francois Sean A, Ontengco Julianne, Chung Bruce, Carter Damien W

机构信息

Department of Surgery, Maine Medical Center, 887 Congress Street, Suite 21022 Bramhall St, Portland, ME 04102, USA.

出版信息

Surg Pract Sci. 2022 Mar 11;9:100066. doi: 10.1016/j.sipas.2022.100066. eCollection 2022 Jun.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

In rural settings, factors like weather and location can significantly impact total prehospital time and survival after injury. We sought to determine what prehospital conditions affect mortality and morbidity in severely injured patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively evaluated adult trauma patients that were admitted to our level 1 trauma center with Glasgow Coma Score (GCS≤ 9), hypotension (SBP≤ 90 mmHg), or both. Weather and prehospital conditions on patient outcomes were evaluated. Weather data was extracted from the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration public database. Prediction models were done using bivariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 442 subjects were captured, Median time on the scene was 15 min  [IQR =10, 20.5], with median time to definitive care 129 min  [IQR= 61, 247]. Hypotension in the field was the greatest predictor of ED mortality (OR=11,  = 0.004), and field hypoxia (OR=3,  = 0.007) was a predictor of in-hospital mortality. Patients with field GCS ≤ 9 had higher odds of ICU admission (OR=2,  = 0.029). Among transfers, increasing prehospital time correlated with ED mortality while injury during warmer weather showed lower odds (OR =0.94,  = 0.019) of mortality. No weather condition predicted mortality for patients that presented directly from the field.

CONCLUSION

Among severely injured patients being injured during cold weather was associated with higher in-hospital mortality among trauma transfer patients. Prehospital hypotension, hypoxia, and GCS≤9 are also independent predictors of mortality. Future analysis will explore factors impacting transport and field time in order to improve outcomes.

摘要

引言

在农村地区,天气和地理位置等因素会显著影响院前总时间和受伤后的生存率。我们试图确定哪些院前条件会影响重伤患者的死亡率和发病率。

材料与方法

我们回顾性评估了入住我们一级创伤中心的成年创伤患者,这些患者格拉斯哥昏迷评分(GCS≤9)、低血压(收缩压≤90mmHg)或两者兼具。评估了天气和院前条件对患者预后的影响。天气数据从美国国家海洋和大气管理局公共数据库中提取。使用双变量和多变量逻辑回归分析进行预测模型。

结果

共纳入442名受试者,现场中位时间为15分钟[四分位间距=10,20.5],确定性治疗的中位时间为129分钟[四分位间距=61,247]。现场低血压是急诊科死亡率的最大预测因素(比值比=11,P=0.004),现场缺氧(比值比=3,P=0.007)是院内死亡率的预测因素。现场GCS≤9的患者入住重症监护病房的几率更高(比值比=2,P=0.029)。在转院患者中,院前时间延长与急诊科死亡率相关,而天气较暖时受伤的患者死亡率较低(比值比=0.94,P=0.019)。没有天气状况能预测直接从现场送来的患者的死亡率。

结论

在重伤患者中,寒冷天气受伤与创伤转院患者较高的院内死亡率相关。院前低血压、缺氧和GCS≤9也是死亡率的独立预测因素。未来的分析将探索影响转运和现场时间的因素,以改善预后。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8157/11749964/ea6ab8c8ef0e/gr1.jpg

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