Hooper Richard
Wolfson Institute of Population Health, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK.
J Clin Epidemiol. 2025 Apr;180:111688. doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2025.111688. Epub 2025 Jan 24.
Questions often arise concerning when, whether, and how we should adjust our interpretation of the results from multiple hypothesis tests. Strong arguments have been put forward in the epidemiological literature against any correction or adjustment for multiplicity, but regulatory requirements (particularly for pharmaceutical trials) can sometimes trump other concerns. The formal basis for adjustment is often the control of error rates, and hence the problems of multiplicity may seem rooted in a purely frequentist paradigm, though this can be a restrictive viewpoint. Commentators may never wholly agree on any of these things. This article draws some of the key threads from the discussion and suggests further reading.
关于我们何时、是否以及如何调整对多重假设检验结果的解释,常常会出现一些问题。流行病学文献中已经提出了强有力的论据,反对对多重性进行任何校正或调整,但监管要求(特别是对于药物试验)有时可能会压倒其他考虑因素。调整的正式依据通常是对错误率的控制,因此多重性问题可能看起来源于纯粹的频率主义范式,尽管这可能是一种限制性观点。评论者们可能永远不会在这些问题上完全达成一致。本文梳理了讨论中的一些关键线索,并推荐了进一步的阅读材料。