Eusebio Pedro, Prieto-González Pablo, Marcelino Rui
University of Maia, Maia, Portugal.
Research Centre in Sports Sciences, Health Sciences and Human Development, CIDESD, CreativeLab Research Community, Vila Real, Portugal.
Front Sports Act Living. 2025 Jan 10;6:1462932. doi: 10.3389/fspor.2024.1462932. eCollection 2024.
The study aimed to increase our understanding of offensive transitions in football, focusing on the time spent executing them and how it is influenced by the period in which they occur and the instant score. The objective is to understand its temporal variables and how they influence the unfolding of the scoreline during a match.
This study analyzes 1,649 goals resulting from offensive transitions in 1,151 games across three leagues categories: Top, Marginal, and Emerging leagues. Multinomial logistic regression was performed to understand associations and predictors between the variables: "duration of a transition", "Time of offensive transition occur" and the "score at the moment".
The research reveals that, across all league categories, the last 15 min of the first and second halves, have the highest frequency of successful offensive transitions, particularly on the last 15 min of matches. In Top leagues, 69% of offensive transitions last for 9 s or more, with slower transitions more prevalent towards the end of games. In Marginal leagues, 41% of successful transitions took 13 s or longer, while in Emerging leagues, 53% of successful offensive transitions occurred when the game was not in a 0-0 state. The results show associations between all variables in Top Leagues. No associations were found in Marginal leagues. Associations between duration of the transition and the time of the game they occur were found on Emerging Leagues.
These findings underscore the importance of tailored strategic plans for offensive transitions, to optimize scoring opportunities and performances.
本研究旨在加深我们对足球进攻转换的理解，重点关注执行进攻转换所花费的时间，以及其如何受到转换发生的时段和即时比分的影响。目的是了解其时间变量以及它们如何在比赛中影响比分的变化。
本研究分析了来自三个联赛类别（顶级、边缘和新兴联赛）的1151场比赛中1649次进攻转换所产生的进球。进行多项逻辑回归以了解变量“转换持续时间”、“进攻转换发生时间”和“当时比分”之间的关联和预测因素。
研究表明，在所有联赛类别中，上下半场的最后15分钟，成功进攻转换的频率最高，尤其是在比赛的最后15分钟。在顶级联赛中，69%的进攻转换持续9秒或更长时间，比赛接近尾声时较慢的转换更为普遍。在边缘联赛中，41%的成功转换用时13秒或更长时间，而在新兴联赛中，53%的成功进攻转换发生在比赛并非0比0的状态下。结果显示顶级联赛中所有变量之间存在关联。在边缘联赛中未发现关联。在新兴联赛中发现了转换持续时间与它们发生的比赛时间之间的关联。
这些发现强调了针对进攻转换制定量身定制的战略计划的重要性，以优化得分机会和表现。
