Casal Claudio A, Maneiro Rubén, Ardá Toni, Marí Francisco J, Losada José L
Department of Science of Physical Activity and Sport, Catholic University of Valencia "San Vte Mártir"Valencia, Spain.
Department of Science of Physical Activity and Sport, Pontifical University of SalamancaSalamanca, Spain.
Front Psychol. 2017 Jul 14;8:1176. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2017.01176. eCollection 2017.
Possession time in football has been widely discussed in research but few studies have analyzed the importance of the field area in which possession occurs. The objective of this study was to identify the existence of significant differences in the field zone of ball possession between successful and unsuccessful teams and to acknowledge if the match status modulates the possession model. To this end, 2,284 attacks were analyzed corresponding to the matches in the final phase of the UEFA Euro 2016 France, recording possession time and field zone in which possession occurred. Video recordings of matches were analyzed and coded post-event using notational analysis. We have found that successful offensive game patterns are different from unsuccessful ones. Specifically, field zone in which major possession occurs changes significantly between successful and unsuccessful teams ( = 15.72, < 0.05) and through Welch's T significant differences were detected in possession time between successful and unsuccessful teams ( = 24.289, < 0.001). The former are characterized by longer possession times, preferably in the middle offensive zone, on the other hand, unsuccessful teams have shorter possession times and preferably on the middle defensive zone. Logistic regression also allowed us to identify that greater possession in the middle offensive zone is a good indicator of success in the offensive game, allowing us to predict a greater chance of victory in the match. Specifically, every time the teams achieve possession in the middle offensive zone, the chance of winning the match will increase 1.72 times and, the probability of winning the match making longer possessions in the middle offensive zone is 44.25%. Applying the Kruskal-Wallis test we have also been able to verify how match status modulates the teams possession time, specifically, when teams are winning they have longer possessions = 92.628, = 0.011. Results obtained are expected to help gain more knowledge about successful offensive game models, as well as performance factors of the offensive phase, which will allow teams to optimize their training process and performance during the match.
足球比赛中的控球时间在研究中已被广泛讨论，但很少有研究分析控球发生区域的重要性。本研究的目的是确定成功球队和失败球队在控球区域是否存在显著差异，并确认比赛状态是否会调节控球模式。为此，分析了与2016年法国欧洲杯决赛阶段比赛相对应的2284次进攻，记录控球时间和控球发生的场地区域。比赛的视频记录在赛后使用符号分析进行分析和编码。我们发现成功的进攻比赛模式与不成功的不同。具体而言，成功球队和失败球队在主要控球发生的场地区域存在显著差异（ = 15.72， < 0.05），并且通过韦尔奇t检验在成功球队和失败球队的控球时间上检测到显著差异（ = 24.289， < 0.001）。前者的特点是控球时间更长，最好是在中场进攻区域，另一方面，失败球队的控球时间较短，最好是在中场防守区域。逻辑回归还使我们能够确定，在中场进攻区域更多的控球是进攻比赛成功的一个良好指标，使我们能够预测比赛中获胜的可能性更大。具体而言，每当球队在中场进攻区域实现控球时，赢得比赛的机会将增加1.72倍，并且在中场进攻区域进行更长时间控球时赢得比赛的概率为44.25%。应用克鲁斯卡尔 - 沃利斯检验，我们还能够验证比赛状态如何调节球队的控球时间，具体而言，当球队获胜时他们有更长的控球时间（ = 92.628， = 0.011）。预期所获得的结果将有助于更多地了解成功的进攻比赛模式以及进攻阶段的表现因素，这将使球队能够优化他们在比赛期间的训练过程和表现。
