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评估全PIERS计算器在夏洛特·马克西克·约翰内斯堡学术医院预测子痫前期孕产妇不良结局的能力。

Evaluating the ability of fullPIERS calculator to predict adverse maternal outcomes in pre-eclampsia at Charlotte Maxeke Johannesburg Academic Hospital.

作者信息

Matonhodze Thomas, Nyakoe Robert

机构信息

Obstetrics and Gynaecology Department, Charlotte Maxeke Johannesburg Academic Hospital, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.

出版信息

Int J Gynaecol Obstet. 2025 Jul;170(1):345-351. doi: 10.1002/ijgo.16181. Epub 2025 Jan 28.

DOI:10.1002/ijgo.16181
PMID:39873220
Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the ability of the fullPIERS model to predict adverse maternal outcomes in patients diagnosed as early-onset pre-eclampsia at Charlotte Maxeke Johannesburg Academic Hospital, South Africa.

METHODS

Retrospective record review and analysis of 134 patients admitted with early-onset pre-eclampsia. Demographic data, symptoms, and investigation results relevant to the fullPIERS calculator present on admission were collected. Adverse maternal outcomes occurring before the end of 7 days from admission were recorded. Descriptive analysis was conducted, χ and Wilcoxon rank-sum tests were used to evaluate the association between fullPIERS parameters, score, and adverse outcomes. Performance of fullPIERS score was evaluated by positive and negative predictive values, sensitivity, specificity, and receiver operating curve analysis.

RESULTS

The median age was 34 years (interquartile range [IQR] 28-37 years). A total of 131 deliveries were recorded at a median gestation of 31 weeks (IQR 29-33 weeks). Most deliveries (71; 54.2%) were due to fetal indications and 102 (77.9%) were by cesarean section. A total of 20 (15.1%) patients had adverse maternal outcomes. Three (2.6%) neonates were delivered with Apgar score less than 7 at 5 minutes and were all admitted to the neonatal intensive care unit. FullPIERS formula predicted adverse maternal outcomes with positive and negative predictive values of 100% and 94.9%, respectively, and sensitivity and specificity of 70% and 100%, respectively. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.88 (95% confidence interval 0.75-0.95), which shows good discrimination.

CONCLUSION

FullPIERS model is a useful adjunct in identifying patients at high risk of adverse outcomes from early-onset pre-eclampsia; this allows timely and appropriate management.

摘要

目的

评估在南非约翰内斯堡夏洛特·马克西克学术医院,fullPIERS模型预测早发型子痫前期患者不良孕产妇结局的能力。

方法

对134例早发型子痫前期入院患者进行回顾性记录审查与分析。收集入院时与fullPIERS计算器相关的人口统计学数据、症状及检查结果。记录入院后7天内发生的不良孕产妇结局。进行描述性分析,采用χ检验和Wilcoxon秩和检验评估fullPIERS参数、评分与不良结局之间的关联。通过阳性和阴性预测值、敏感性、特异性及受试者工作特征曲线分析评估fullPIERS评分的性能。

结果

中位年龄为34岁(四分位间距[IQR]28 - 37岁)。共记录131例分娩,中位孕周为31周(IQR 29 - 33周)。大多数分娩(71例;54.2%)是由于胎儿指征,102例(77.9%)通过剖宫产。共有20例(15.1%)患者出现不良孕产妇结局。3例(2.6%)新生儿5分钟时阿氏评分低于7分,均入住新生儿重症监护病房。FullPIERS公式预测不良孕产妇结局的阳性和阴性预测值分别为100%和94.9%,敏感性和特异性分别为70%和100%。受试者工作特征曲线下面积为0.88(95%置信区间0.75 - 0.95),显示出良好的辨别能力。

结论

FullPIERS模型是识别早发型子痫前期不良结局高危患者的有用辅助工具;这有助于及时进行适当的管理。

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