Andersen Desiree, Borzée Amaël, Jang Yikweon
School of Natural Resources and the Environment, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA.
Division of EcoScience, Ewha Womans University, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Anim Cells Syst (Seoul). 2025 Jan 28;29(1):113-121. doi: 10.1080/19768354.2025.2455080. eCollection 2025.
Invasive species can be unpredictable in their ability to adapt and spread across novel landscapes. American bullfrogs () and red-eared sliders () have become invasive in South Korea since their introduction in the 1970s through the food and pet trades. One of the first steps to their population regulations is to determine each species' distribution in the country, which will allow for the identification of at-risk areas. In this study, we used a combination of kernel density and habitat suitability modeling to identify regions of current invasion and future spread for both species. We additionally modeled habitat suitability under a variety of climate scenarios, spanning 2021-2100 in order to determine possible climate change-based spread. For we found the total possible invasible area to be 46.2% of the country under current climate conditions, with 26.5% of the country currently invaded. For , we found the total possible invasible area to be 38.5% of the country under current climate conditions, with 2.1% currently invaded. Finally, based on climate change predictions, both species are expected to have a decreased range of suitable area in the coming decades. The variations between the two invasive species pertain to their different breeding ecology.
入侵物种在适应和扩散到新环境的能力方面可能难以预测。自20世纪70年代通过食品和宠物贸易引入以来,美国牛蛙( )和红耳龟( )已在韩国成为入侵物种。对它们进行种群调控的首要步骤之一是确定每个物种在该国的分布情况,这将有助于识别高危区域。在本研究中,我们结合核密度和栖息地适宜性建模,来识别这两个物种当前的入侵区域和未来的扩散区域。我们还对2021年至2100年期间各种气候情景下的栖息地适宜性进行了建模,以确定基于气候变化的可能扩散情况。对于 ,我们发现在当前气候条件下,该国总的可能入侵面积占国土面积的46.2%,目前已有26.5%的国土被入侵。对于 ,我们发现在当前气候条件下,该国总的可能入侵面积占国土面积的38.5%,目前仅有2.1%的国土被入侵。最后,根据气候变化预测,预计在未来几十年里,这两个物种适宜生存的区域范围都将缩小。这两种入侵物种之间的差异与其不同的繁殖生态有关。