Kåresdotter Elisie, Destouni Georgia, Lammers Richard B, Keskinen Marko, Pan Haozhi, Kalantari Zahra
Department of Sustainable Development, Environmental Science and Engineering (SEED), KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Kungliga Tekniska högskolan, SEED, 100 44, Stockholm, Sweden.
Department of Physical Geography and Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University, Inst för Naturgeografi, 106 91, Stockholm, Sweden.
Ambio. 2025 Apr;54(4):618-631. doi: 10.1007/s13280-024-02111-7. Epub 2025 Jan 31.
Climate change is known to worsen conflicts, but its combination with other factors affecting water-related conflicts remains less explored. Using a scoping review, this study examined research in the climate-water-conflict nexus. Using semi-automatic text mining approaches, key research gaps and differences in conflict factors and themes across different regions and conflict types were analyzed. Studies focused on Asia and Africa, with few exploring other regions. Governance and livelihoods emerged as significant factors in water-related conflict responses worldwide, with differences across regions. For instance, farmer-herder conflicts were common in Africa, while agriculture was more related to governance and water management in Asia. Research priorities forward should diversify the range of water-related conflict subjects and regions and give special focus to regions vulnerable to hydroclimatic change. More focus on cooperation and non-violent conflicts is also vital for understanding and being able to project and mitigate future water-related conflict responses to climate change.
众所周知，气候变化会加剧冲突，但气候变化与影响与水相关冲突的其他因素相结合的情况仍鲜有人探究。本研究通过范围综述，审视了气候 - 水 - 冲突关系方面的研究。采用半自动文本挖掘方法，分析了不同地区和冲突类型在冲突因素及主题方面的关键研究空白和差异。研究主要集中在亚洲和非洲，很少涉及其他地区。治理和生计成为全球与水相关冲突应对中的重要因素，且存在地区差异。例如，农牧民冲突在非洲很常见，而在亚洲，农业与治理及水资源管理的关联更大。未来的研究重点应使与水相关的冲突主题和地区多样化，并特别关注易受水文气候变化影响的地区。更多地关注合作及非暴力冲突对于理解并预测和缓解未来与水相关的气候变化冲突应对也至关重要。
