Neigh Christopher S R, Montesano Paul M, Sexton Joseph O, Wooten Margaret, Wagner William, Feng Min, Carvalhais Nuno, Calle Leonardo, Carroll Mark L
NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD USA.
ADNET Systems Inc., Bethesda, MD USA.
Commun Earth Environ. 2025;6(1):71. doi: 10.1038/s43247-025-02006-9. Epub 2025 Jan 30.
Climate warming has improved conditions for boreal forest growth, yet the region's fate as a carbon sink of aboveground biomass remains uncertain. Forest height is a powerful predictor of aboveground forest biomass, and access to spatially detailed height-age relationships could improve the understanding of carbon dynamics in this ecosystem. The capacity of land to grow trees, defined in forestry as site index, was estimated by analyzing recent measurements of canopy height against a chronosequence of forest stand age derived from the historical satellite record. Forest-height estimates were then subtracted from the predicted site index to estimate height-age growth potential across the region. Russia, which comprised 73% of the forest change domain, had strong departures from model expectation of 2.4-4.8 ± 3.8 m for the 75th and 90th percentiles. Combining satellite observations revealed a large young forest growth sink if allowed to recover from disturbance.
气候变暖改善了北方森林生长的条件,然而该地区作为地上生物量碳汇的命运仍不确定。森林高度是地上森林生物量的有力预测指标,获取空间详细的高度-年龄关系有助于增进对该生态系统碳动态的理解。通过分析近期冠层高度测量值与从历史卫星记录得出的林分年龄时间序列,估算了林业中定义的土地树木生长能力即立地指数。然后从预测的立地指数中减去森林高度估计值,以估算该地区的高度-年龄生长潜力。占森林变化区域73%的俄罗斯,在第75和第90百分位数上与模型预期的2.4 - 4.8 ± 3.8米有很大偏差。综合卫星观测结果表明,如果允许从干扰中恢复,会有一个巨大的年轻森林生长碳汇。