Jhamb Prachi, Ferreira Susana, Stephens Patrick, Sundaram Mekala, Wilson Jonathan
Department of Applied Economics, University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia, United States of America.
Integrative Biology, Oklahoma State University, Stillwater, Oklahoma, United States of America.
PLoS One. 2025 Feb 3;20(2):e0318482. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0318482. eCollection 2025.
Nightlights (NTL) have been widely used as a proxy for economic activity, despite known limitations in accuracy and comparability, particularly with outdated Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP) data. The emergence of newer and more precise Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) data offers potential, yet challenges persist due to temporal and spatial disparities between the two datasets. Addressing this, we employ a novel harmonized NTL dataset (VIIRS + DMSP), which provides the longest and most consistent database available to date. We evaluate the association between newly available harmonized NTL data and various indicators of economic activity at the subnational level across 34 countries in sub-Saharan Africa from 2004 to 2019. Specifically, we analyze the accuracy of the new NTL data in predicting socio-economic outcomes obtained from two sources: 1) nationally representative surveys, i.e., the household Wealth Index published by Demographic and Health Surveys, and 2) indicators derived from administrative records such as the gridded Human Development Index and Gross Domestic Product per capita. Our findings suggest that even after controlling for population density, the harmonized NTL remain a strong predictor of the wealth index. However, while urban areas show a notable association between harmonized NTL and the wealth index, this relationship is less pronounced in rural areas. Furthermore, we observe that NTL can also significantly explain variations in both GDP per capita and HDI at subnational levels.
夜光(NTL)已被广泛用作经济活动的替代指标,尽管其在准确性和可比性方面存在已知局限性,尤其是与过时的国防气象卫星计划(DMSP)数据相关。更新且更精确的可见红外成像辐射计套件(VIIRS)数据的出现带来了潜力,但由于这两个数据集在时间和空间上的差异,挑战依然存在。为解决这一问题,我们采用了一个全新的统一夜光数据集(VIIRS + DMSP),它提供了迄今为止最长且最一致的数据库。我们评估了2004年至2019年期间,新获得的统一夜光数据与撒哈拉以南非洲34个国家次国家层面各种经济活动指标之间的关联。具体而言,我们分析了新夜光数据在预测从两个来源获得的社会经济成果方面的准确性:1)具有全国代表性的调查,即人口与健康调查公布的家庭财富指数;2)从行政记录得出的指标,如网格化人类发展指数和人均国内生产总值。我们的研究结果表明,即使在控制了人口密度之后,统一夜光数据仍然是财富指数的有力预测指标。然而虽然在城市地区统一夜光数据与财富指数之间存在显著关联,但这种关系在农村地区并不那么明显。此外,我们观察到夜光数据还能显著解释次国家层面人均国内生产总值和人类发展指数的变化。