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基于ECOA-BiTCN-BiLSTM混合模型的寒冷地区露水体积预测

Prediction of cold region dew volume based on an ECOA-BiTCN-BiLSTM hybrid model.

作者信息

Zhang Yi, Liu Pengtao, Xu Yingying, Zhang Meng

机构信息

College of Electrical and Computer Science, Jilin Jianzhu University, Changchun, China.

Key Laboratory of Symbolic Computation and Knowledge Engineering of Ministry of Education, Jilin University, Changchun, 130012, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 Feb 4;15(1):4265. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-74097-x.

Abstract

This paper presents a hybrid prediction model, ECOA-BiTCN-BiLSTM, for predicting dew in cold areas. The model integrates BiTCN and BiLSTM neural networks to enhance performance. An enhanced Crayfish optimization algorithm (ECOA) with four mixed strategies was employed to optimize the model's hyperparameters and reduce the impact of arbitrary selection. The proposed ECOA-BiTCN-BiLSTM model was validated using dew data from farmland in a northeastern Chinese city. Comparative experiments were conducted against the BiTCN model, the BiLSTM model, the original BiTCN-BiLSTM model, and other models optimized with advanced swarm intelligence algorithms. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model achieved a mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.002424, a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.003984, and a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 0.123050, with a coefficient of determination R of 0.999840. These results indicate that the ECOA-BiTCN-BiLSTM model outperforms the other prediction models across all evaluated metrics, offering higher prediction accuracy and highly effective prediction models.

摘要

本文提出了一种用于预测寒冷地区露水的混合预测模型ECOA - BiTCN - BiLSTM。该模型集成了BiTCN和BiLSTM神经网络以提高性能。采用了一种具有四种混合策略的增强型小龙虾优化算法(ECOA)来优化模型的超参数,并减少任意选择的影响。利用中国东北某城市农田的露水数据对所提出的ECOA - BiTCN - BiLSTM模型进行了验证。针对BiTCN模型、BiLSTM模型、原始的BiTCN - BiLSTM模型以及其他用先进群体智能算法优化的模型进行了对比实验。实验结果表明,所提出的模型平均绝对误差(MAE)为0.002424,均方根误差(RMSE)为0.003984,平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)为0.123050,决定系数R为0.999840。这些结果表明,ECOA - BiTCN - BiLSTM模型在所有评估指标上均优于其他预测模型,提供了更高的预测精度和高效的预测模型。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9c69/11794478/33df31af96bb/41598_2024_74097_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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