Schwarz Edgar, Duffield Rob, Novak Andrew Roman, Compton Dennis Alan, Meyer Tim
Institute of Sports and Preventive Medicine, Saarland University, Saarbrücken, Germany.
School of Sport, Exercise and Rehabilitation, Faculty of Health, University of Technology Sydney, Ultimo, NSW, Australia.
Eur J Sport Sci. 2025 Mar;25(3):e12256. doi: 10.1002/ejsc.12256.
This study investigated the association between environmental temperature and match-play characteristics (shooting, passing, dribbling and defending) in four professional football leagues. Twenty-seven performance indicators (PI's) were collated from 1585 matches from the German Bundesliga 1 and 2, Spanish La Liga and Australian A-League. Environmental data were obtained for dry-bulb temperature (T) and wet-bulb globe temperature (WBGT) retrospectively from public sources. For each league, linear regressions were used to determine relationships between PI's and T and WBGT and linear mixed models were used to determine those associations across all four leagues. Individual leagues showed varying associations between a collection of PI's and environmental measures. When combining the four leagues' match data, 8 of the 17 investigated parameters were associated with T and WBGT (p < 0.002). Passes, especially short passes, were reduced in higher T (-2.3 [-3.1 to -1.5] and p < 0.001) and WBGT (-3.1 [-4.0 to -2.1] and p < 0.001), alongside an increase in the success rate of passes (0.06 [0.02-0.09] and p ≤ 0.001). The number of passes into the opponent's final third was reduced for both T (-0.18 [-0.25 to -0.05] and p = 0.001) and WBGT (-0.17 [-0.28 to-0.05] and p = 0.002), but the number of key passes leading to a shot or goal was not associated with T or WBGT (p ≥ 0.67). The number of touches, take-ons and turnovers were reduced in higher T and WBGT (all p < 0.001). Accordingly, in higher heat stress, match actions, especially those performed at high volumes, are reduced. Therefore, teams should expect a possibly altered match play and may consider adapting tactical or heat-mitigating strategies to counter these effects.
本研究调查了四个职业足球联赛中环境温度与比赛表现特征(射门、传球、盘带和防守)之间的关联。从德国甲级联赛1和2、西班牙甲级联赛以及澳大利亚A联赛的1585场比赛中整理出了27个表现指标(PI)。环境数据是从公共来源回顾性获取的干球温度(T)和湿球黑球温度(WBGT)。对于每个联赛,使用线性回归来确定PI与T和WBGT之间的关系,并使用线性混合模型来确定所有四个联赛之间的这些关联。各个联赛在一系列PI与环境指标之间呈现出不同的关联。当合并四个联赛的比赛数据时,17个调查参数中的8个与T和WBGT相关(p < 0.002)。在较高的T(-2.3 [-3.1至-1.5]且p < 0.001)和WBGT(-3.1 [-4.0至-2.1]且p < 0.001)下,传球次数,尤其是短传次数减少,同时传球成功率增加(0.06 [0.02 - 0.09]且p≤0.001)。对于T(-0.18 [-0.25至-0.05]且p = 0.001)和WBGT(-0.17 [-0.28至-0.05]且p = 0.002),传入对手最后三分之一区域的传球次数均减少,但导致射门或进球的关键传球次数与T或WBGT无关(p≥0.67)。在较高的T和WBGT下,触球次数、过人次数和失误次数均减少(所有p < 0.001)。因此,在较高的热应激下,比赛动作,尤其是那些大量进行的动作,会减少。所以,球队应该预期比赛方式可能会改变,并可考虑调整战术或采取热缓解策略来应对这些影响。