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基于深度学习的高级预后模型:评估已故和活体供肝肝移植受者的长期预后

Advanced prognostic modeling with deep learning: assessing long-term outcomes in liver transplant recipients from deceased and living donors.

作者信息

Raji C G, Chandra S S Vinod, Gracious Noble, Pillai Yamuna R, Sasidharan Abhishek

机构信息

Department of Computer Science, Assumption College Autonomous, Changanassery, Kerala, India.

Department of Computer Science, University of Kerala, Thiruvananthapuram, Kerala, India.

出版信息

J Transl Med. 2025 Feb 16;23(1):188. doi: 10.1186/s12967-025-06183-1.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Predicting long-term outcomes in liver transplantation remain a challenging endeavor. This research aims to harness the power of deep learning to develop an advanced prognostic model for assessing long-term outcomes, with a specific focus on distinguishing between deceased and living donor transplantation.

METHODS

A comprehensive dataset from UNOS encompassing clinical, demographic, and transplant-related variables of liver transplant recipients from deceased and living donors was utilized. The main dataset has been transformed into Deceased Donor-Recipient and Living Donor-Recipient dataset. After manual extraction, the dimensionality reduction was performed with Principal component analysis in both datasets and top ranked 23 attributes were collected. A Deeplearning4j Multilayer Perceptron classifier has been employed and long-term survival analysis has been conducted with the help of liver follow-up data. The performance evaluation is done separately in datasets and evaluated the survival probabilities of 23 years.

RESULTS

UNOS database comprises 410 attributes and 353,589 records from 1998 to 2023. The outcome from the deep learning model was compared with actual graft survival to ensure the accuracy. The model trained 23 attributes and obtained Sensitivity, Specificity and accuracy values were 99.9, 99.9 and 99.91% using R-Living donor dataset. The Sensitivity, Specificity and Accuracy value obtained using R-Deceased donor dataset were 99.7, 99.7 and 99.86%. The short term and long-term survival prediction after liver transplantation has been done successfully with Dl4jMLP classifier with appropriate selection of attributes irrespective of donor type. This study's finding suggesting that the distinction between deceased and living donor transplantation does not significantly affect survival prediction after liver transplantation is noteworthy.

CONCLUSIONS

The utility of the Deeplearning4j model in survival prediction after liver transplantation has been validated in this study. Based on the findings, deceased donor transplantation could be promoted over living donor transplantation.

摘要

背景

预测肝移植的长期结果仍然是一项具有挑战性的工作。本研究旨在利用深度学习的力量开发一种先进的预后模型,以评估长期结果,特别关注区分 deceased 和 living donor 移植。

方法

使用了来自 UNOS 的一个综合数据集,该数据集包含 deceased 和 living donor 肝移植受者的临床、人口统计学和移植相关变量。主要数据集已转换为 deceased donor - 受者和 living donor - 受者数据集。经过手动提取后,在两个数据集中使用主成分分析进行降维,并收集排名靠前的 23 个属性。采用了 Deeplearning4j 多层感知器分类器,并借助肝脏随访数据进行了长期生存分析。在数据集中分别进行性能评估,并评估了 23 年的生存概率。

结果

UNOS 数据库包含 1998 年至 2023 年的 410 个属性和 353,589 条记录。将深度学习模型的结果与实际移植物存活情况进行比较以确保准确性。该模型训练了 23 个属性,使用 R - living donor 数据集获得的灵敏度、特异性和准确率值分别为 99.9%、99.9%和 99.91%。使用 R - deceased donor 数据集获得的灵敏度、特异性和准确率值分别为 99.7%、99.7%和 99.86%。无论供体类型如何,通过适当选择属性,Dl4jMLP 分类器成功地对肝移植后的短期和长期生存进行了预测。本研究的发现表明,deceased 和 living donor 移植之间的区别对肝移植后的生存预测没有显著影响,这一点值得注意。

结论

本研究验证了 Deeplearning4j 模型在肝移植后生存预测中的效用。基于这些发现,与 living donor 移植相比,deceased donor 移植可能更值得推广。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c458/11830213/4e2d0c3613d2/12967_2025_6183_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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