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Development of a Nomogram-Based Online Calculator for Predicting Cancer-Specific Survival in Patients With Digestive Tract Mixed Neuroendocrine-Non-Neuroendocrine Neoplasms (MiNENs): An Analysis of the SEER Database.

作者信息

Tang Jing, Wei Siqi, Tang Guobin, Zhao Ping

机构信息

Department of Gastroenterology, Guangyuan Central Hospital, Guangyuan, China.

出版信息

Cancer Rep (Hoboken). 2025 Feb;8(2):e70156. doi: 10.1002/cnr2.70156.


DOI:10.1002/cnr2.70156
PMID:39972644
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11839491/
Abstract

AIMS: Mixed neuroendocrine-non-neuroendocrine neoplasms (MiNENs) represent a rare and heterogeneous subgroup of neoplasms that typically consist of a neuroendocrine (NE) component, most commonly neuroendocrine carcinoma (NEC), alongside a non-neuroendocrine (non-NE) component. They commonly occur in the digestive tract, and their prognosis is influenced by multiple factors. This article aimed to identify factors that affect the cancer-specific survival (CSS) of MiNENs and develop an effective nomogram-based online calculator to validate its effectiveness. METHODS: The clinical, pathological, epidemiological, and survival data of patients with digestive tract MiNENs were collected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database spanning from 2000 to 2020. Then, the dataset was divided into a training cohort and a validation cohort. The χ test or Fisher's exact test was utilized to assess differences in demographic and clinicopathological characteristics between the two groups. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and log-rank tests were employed to conduct survival analysis. Additionally, univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to identify potential prognostic factors and develop nomograms and an online calculator for predicting CSS at 1, 3, and 5 years. Lastly, the predictive ability of the online calculator was subsequently compared with the sixth edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) TNM staging system using the Harrell concordance index (C-index), the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS: A total of 330 patients were randomly assigned to two groups, namely, the training cohort (n = 231) and the validation cohort (n = 99). The log-rank test revealed a significant association between the lower cumulative survival and age ≥ 65 years, poor tumor grade, lack of surgical treatment, TNM stages III and IV, and distant metastasis. In the training cohort, a nomogram incorporating grade, surgery, TNM stage, and tumor metastasis was developed, which demonstrated favorable calibration and discriminatory capabilities. Compared to TNM staging, the nomogram exhibited satisfactory performance in predicting 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year CSS rates. The C-index value was 0.787 in the training cohort and 0.738 in the validation cohort, respectively. In the training cohort, the nomogram achieved an AUC of 85.81%, 85.86%, and 87.32% for 1-year CSS, 3-year CSS, and 5-year CSS, respectively. In contrast, these AUC values were 78.46%, 81.50%, and 83.88% in the validation cohort, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The developed online calculator offers a novel approach to predicting the prognosis of patients with digestive tract MiNENs. Indeed, it can accurately predict the CSS of these patients over 1, 3, and 5 years, thereby assisting in enhancing prognosis and formulating appropriate treatment strategies.

摘要
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/de76/11839491/90b988bff028/CNR2-8-e70156-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/de76/11839491/6584c6240c3b/CNR2-8-e70156-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/de76/11839491/faf41bfab640/CNR2-8-e70156-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/de76/11839491/6eaa87a369ee/CNR2-8-e70156-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/de76/11839491/fcc1c4f14a3c/CNR2-8-e70156-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/de76/11839491/90b988bff028/CNR2-8-e70156-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/de76/11839491/6584c6240c3b/CNR2-8-e70156-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/de76/11839491/faf41bfab640/CNR2-8-e70156-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/de76/11839491/6eaa87a369ee/CNR2-8-e70156-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/de76/11839491/fcc1c4f14a3c/CNR2-8-e70156-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/de76/11839491/90b988bff028/CNR2-8-e70156-g005.jpg

相似文献

[1]
Development of a Nomogram-Based Online Calculator for Predicting Cancer-Specific Survival in Patients With Digestive Tract Mixed Neuroendocrine-Non-Neuroendocrine Neoplasms (MiNENs): An Analysis of the SEER Database.

Cancer Rep (Hoboken). 2025-2

[2]
Incidence, survival, and prognostic factors for patients with gastrointestinal mixed neuroendocrine non-neuroendocrine neoplasms: a SEER population-based study.

J Cancer Res Clin Oncol. 2023-11

[3]
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World J Surg Oncol. 2024-6-7

[4]
Competing risk nomogram and risk classification system for evaluating overall and cancer-specific survival in neuroendocrine carcinoma of the cervix: a population-based retrospective study.

J Endocrinol Invest. 2024-6

[5]
A nomogram to predict postoperative overall and cancer specific survival in patients with primary parotid squamous cell carcinoma: a population based study.

Sci Rep. 2025-2-25

[6]
A nomogram for predicting cancer-specific survival in patients with locally advanced unresectable esophageal cancer: development and validation study.

Front Immunol. 2025-2-14

[7]
Development and validation of nomograms for predicting survival of elderly patients with stage I small-cell lung cancer.

Bosn J Basic Med Sci. 2021-10-1

[8]
Development and validation of a nomogram model for cancer-specific survival of patients with poorly differentiated thyroid carcinoma: A SEER database analysis.

Front Endocrinol (Lausanne). 2022

[9]
Development and validation of predictive models for distant metastasis and prognosis of gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms.

Sci Rep. 2025-3-19

[10]
Establishment and Validation of Prognostic Nomograms for Patients with Metastatic Pulmonary Large Cell Neuroendocrine Carcinoma.

Cancer Control. 2024

本文引用的文献

[1]
Role of Bone Metastases in Lung Neuroendocrine Neoplasms: Clinical Presentation, Treatment and Impact on Prognosis.

Int J Mol Sci. 2024-8-17

[2]
Gender Differences in Lung Neuroendocrine Tumors: A Single-Center Experience.

Neuroendocrinology. 2024-5-24

[3]
Dyslipidemia, lipid-lowering agents and neuroendocrine neoplasms: new horizons.

Endocrine. 2024-8

[4]
Current understanding of pathogenetic mechanisms in neuroendocrine neoplasms.

Expert Rev Endocrinol Metab. 2024

[5]
Incidence, survival, and prognostic factors for patients with gastrointestinal mixed neuroendocrine non-neuroendocrine neoplasms: a SEER population-based study.

J Cancer Res Clin Oncol. 2023-11

[6]
The Regulatory Effect of the Paraventricular Nucleus on Hypertension.

Neuroendocrinology. 2024

[7]
Association of Lymphovascular Space Invasion (LVSI) with Histological Tumor Grade and Myometrial Invasion in Endometrial Carcinoma: A Review Study.

Adv Biomed Res. 2023-6-28

[8]
Nomogram predicting overall prognosis for invasive micropapillary carcinoma of the breast: a SEER-based population study.

BMJ Open. 2023-8-7

[9]
Rectal early high-grade mixed neuroendocrine-non-neuroendocrine neoplasm: Report of a case undergoing endoscopic submucosal dissection with 12-month follow-up.

Asian J Surg. 2023-11

[10]
[Analysis of clinicopathological characteristics, therapeutic strategy and prognosis of 501 patients with gastric neuroendocrine neoplasms attending a single center].

Zhonghua Wei Chang Wai Ke Za Zhi. 2023-5-25

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