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2020年至2040年唾液腺癌的全球流行病学及社会经济关联因素

Global Epidemiology and Socioeconomic Correlates of Salivary Gland Cancer From 2020 to 2040.

作者信息

Mousavi Seyed Ehsan, Ghasemi Hoomaan, Najafi Morvarid, Nejadghaderi Seyed Aria

机构信息

Neurosciences Research Center, Aging Research Institute, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran.

Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Department of Community Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran.

出版信息

Community Dent Oral Epidemiol. 2025 Jun;53(3):316-328. doi: 10.1111/cdoe.13033. Epub 2025 Feb 20.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

To report the epidemiology and socioeconomic correlates of salivary gland cancers (SGCs) at global, regional and national levels by age, sex and country.

METHODS

Data on the incidence and mortality of SGC for the year 2020 were extracted from the Global Cancer Observatory. The relationships between incidence and mortality rates with the human development index (HDI) and the ratio of current healthcare expenditure to gross domestic product were investigated using bivariate correlation tests. Also, projections for new cancer cases or mortalities in a specific nation or region between 2025 and 2040 were estimated by multiplying age-specific incidence or mortality rates, with the anticipated population for the years 2025-2040.

RESULTS

In 2020, the global crude incidence and mortality rates of SGC were 0.69 and 0.29, respectively. Among the World Health Organization regions, the Americas and Africa had the highest SGC age-standardised incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardised mortality rate (ASMR), respectively. By HDI classification, the very high HDI group had the highest SGC ASIR at 0.69, whereas the low HDI group had the highest SGC ASMR at 0.49. Among different age groups, those aged 70+ had the highest SGC incidence and mortality crude rates. Globally, males had higher SGC incidence and mortality crude rates than females. A strong negative correlation was found between HDI and SGC ASMR and the mortality-to-incidence ratio (p < 0.001). By 2040, the global incidence and mortality numbers of SGC are projected to increase by 50% and 60%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings provide crucial insight into the global distribution and disparities in SGC care quality. Furthermore, this report has the potential to aid in the planning of SGC control initiatives.

摘要

目的

按年龄、性别和国家报告全球、区域和国家层面唾液腺癌(SGC)的流行病学及社会经济相关因素。

方法

从全球癌症观测站提取2020年SGC的发病率和死亡率数据。使用双变量相关性检验研究发病率和死亡率与人类发展指数(HDI)以及当前医疗保健支出与国内生产总值的比率之间的关系。此外,通过将特定年龄组的发病率或死亡率乘以2025 - 2040年的预期人口,估算2025年至2040年特定国家或地区新癌症病例或死亡人数的预测值。

结果

2020年,全球SGC的粗发病率和死亡率分别为0.69和0.29。在世界卫生组织各区域中,美洲和非洲的SGC年龄标准化发病率(ASIR)和年龄标准化死亡率(ASMR)分别最高。按HDI分类,极高HDI组的SGC ASIR最高,为0.69,而低HDI组的SGC ASMR最高,为0.49。在不同年龄组中,70岁及以上人群的SGC发病率和死亡率粗率最高。在全球范围内,男性的SGC发病率和死亡率粗率高于女性。发现HDI与SGC ASMR以及死亡率与发病率之比之间存在强烈的负相关(p < 0.001)。到2040年,预计全球SGC的发病率和死亡人数将分别增加50%和60%。

结论

这些发现为SGC护理质量的全球分布和差异提供了关键见解。此外,本报告有可能有助于SGC控制举措的规划。

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