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2020年下咽癌的全球流行病学及社会经济相关因素及其至2040年的预测:来自全球癌症观察站(GLOBOCAN)2020的数据

Global epidemiology and socioeconomic correlates of hypopharyngeal cancer in 2020 and its projection to 2040: findings from GLOBOCAN 2020.

作者信息

Mousavi Seyed Ehsan, Ilaghi Mehran, Mirzazadeh Yasaman, Mosavi Jarrahi Alireza, Nejadghaderi Seyed Aria

机构信息

Neurosciences Research Center, Aging Research Institute, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran.

Department of Community Medicine, Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Faculty of Medicine, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran.

出版信息

Front Oncol. 2024 Sep 2;14:1398063. doi: 10.3389/fonc.2024.1398063. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Hypopharyngeal cancer (HC) comprises less than 5% of all malignant tumors in the head and neck. They often present at an advanced stage, thereby resulting in high mortalities. We aimed to report the epidemiology of HC globally, regionally, and nationally by age, sex, and socioeconomic status in 2020 and its projection to 2040.

METHODS

Data on HC incidence and mortality were extracted from the GLOBOCAN 2020. Age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), and mortality-to-incidence ratios (MIRs) were calculated. We used bivariate correlation test, presenting results through Pearson's correlation coefficient (r) to investigate the correlation between the metrics, human development index (HDI), and current healthcare expenditure (CHE) as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP) (CHE/GDP).

RESULTS

In 2020, there were 84254 new HC cases globally (ASIR: 0.91 per 100000). Moreover, HC resulted in 38599 mortalities in 2020 (ASMR: 0.41). Furthermore, the global MIR of HC was 0.45. The ASIR and ASMR of HC were higher in men than women. Also, HDI demonstrated significant correlations with HC ASIR (r= 0.249, p<0.01), ASMR (r= 0.185, p<0.05), and MIR (r= -0.449, p<0.001). Moreover, a weak significant correlation was also observed between CHE/GDP and MIR (r= -0.295, p<0.001). Moreover, a weak significant correlation was also observed between CHE/GDP and MIR (r= 0.279, p<0.001). The number of new HC cases and mortalities were estimated to increase by 50% and 55% in 2040, respectively.

CONCLUSION

HC is a relatively rare cancer but with a substantial sex and geographic divide in distribution. Key priorities should thus include establishing high-quality cancer registries worldwide.

摘要

背景

下咽癌(HC)占头颈部所有恶性肿瘤的比例不到5%。它们通常在晚期出现,因此导致高死亡率。我们旨在报告2020年全球、区域和国家下咽癌按年龄、性别和社会经济地位划分的流行病学情况及其到2040年的预测。

方法

从GLOBOCAN 2020中提取下咽癌发病率和死亡率数据。计算年龄标准化发病率(ASIR)、年龄标准化死亡率(ASMR)和死亡率与发病率之比(MIR)。我们使用双变量相关性检验,通过皮尔逊相关系数(r)呈现结果,以研究这些指标、人类发展指数(HDI)以及作为国内生产总值(GDP)百分比的当前医疗保健支出(CHE)(CHE/GDP)之间的相关性。

结果

2020年,全球有84254例新的下咽癌病例(ASIR:每10万人中0.91例)。此外,2020年下咽癌导致38599人死亡(ASMR:0.41)。此外,全球下咽癌的MIR为0.45。下咽癌的ASIR和ASMR男性高于女性。此外,HDI与下咽癌ASIR(r = 0.249,p < 0.01)、ASMR(r = 0.185,p < 0.05)和MIR(r = -0.449,p < 0.001)显示出显著相关性。此外,还观察到CHE/GDP与MIR之间存在弱显著相关性(r = -0.295,p < 0.001)。此外,还观察到CHE/GDP与MIR之间存在弱显著相关性(r = 0.279,p < 0.001)。预计到2040年,新的下咽癌病例数和死亡数将分别增加50%和55%。

结论

下咽癌是一种相对罕见的癌症,但在分布上存在明显的性别和地域差异。因此,关键优先事项应包括在全球建立高质量的癌症登记处。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/20a0/11402725/8e71e607d12e/fonc-14-1398063-g001.jpg

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