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与湿球黑球温度相关的热相关疾病的院内死亡率:一项日本全国住院患者数据分析。

In-hospital mortality of heat-related disease associated with wet bulb globe temperature: a Japanese nationwide inpatient data analysis.

作者信息

Nakamura Kazuha, Okada Akira, Watanabe Hideaki, Oka Kazutaka, Honda Yasushi, Matsui Hiroki, Fushimi Kiyohide, Yasunaga Hideo, Kim Yoonhee

机构信息

Department of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Economics, School of Public Health, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.

Division of Emergency and Transport Services, National Center for Child Health and Development, Tokyo, Japan.

出版信息

Int J Biometeorol. 2025 Apr;69(4):873-884. doi: 10.1007/s00484-025-02867-x. Epub 2025 Mar 4.

Abstract

Heat-related diseases have become a significant public health concern. Studies have shown that susceptibility to heat varies among regions; however, most studies used aggregated data on emergency transport in the regions. The present study used a nationwide inpatient database in Japan and examined the association between regional differences in Wet Bulb Globe Temperature (WBGT) and in-hospital mortality in patients with a heat-related disease, with adjustment for individual-level characteristics. We retrospectively identified participants from the Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination inpatient database during the five warmest months of the year (May 1 to September 30) from 2011 to 2019. We calculated the long-term average daily maximum WBGT for the prefectures and categorized the prefectures into three areas (low-, middle-, and high-WBGT). We conduced multivariable logistic regression analyses to compare in-hospital mortality between the WBGT areas, adjusting for individual-level covariates (including age, sex, body mass index, and comorbidities). A total of 82,250 patients were admitted for heat-related diseases. The mean age was 63.2 (standard deviation, 25.0) years, and 63.7% were male. In the multivariable logistic regression analysis, the low-WBGT area had a higher in-hospital mortality than that had by the high-WBGT area (odds ratio, 1.32; 95% confidence interval, 1.15-1.52), whereas no significant difference was observed between the middle- and high-WBGT areas (odds ratio, 1.00; 95% confidence interval, 0.89-1.12). After adjusting for individual-level risk factors, in-hospital death was more likely to occur in patients with heat-related diseases in lower WBGT areas compared with those in higher WBGT areas.

摘要

与热相关的疾病已成为一个重大的公共卫生问题。研究表明,不同地区对热的易感性存在差异;然而,大多数研究使用的是各地区紧急转运的汇总数据。本研究使用了日本的全国住院患者数据库,在对个体特征进行调整的情况下,研究了湿球黑球温度(WBGT)的区域差异与热相关疾病患者院内死亡率之间的关联。我们回顾性地从2011年至2019年每年最温暖的五个月(5月1日至9月30日)的日本诊断程序组合住院患者数据库中确定参与者。我们计算了各都道府县的长期每日最高WBGT平均值,并将各都道府县分为三个区域(低、中、高WBGT区域)。我们进行了多变量逻辑回归分析,以比较WBGT区域之间的院内死亡率,并对个体水平的协变量(包括年龄、性别、体重指数和合并症)进行了调整。共有82250名患者因热相关疾病入院。平均年龄为63.2岁(标准差为25.0岁),男性占63.7%。在多变量逻辑回归分析中,低WBGT区域的院内死亡率高于高WBGT区域(优势比为1.32;95%置信区间为1.15 - 1.52),而中WBGT区域和高WBGT区域之间未观察到显著差异(优势比为1.00;95%置信区间为0.89 - 1.12)。在调整个体水平的风险因素后,与高WBGT区域相比,低WBGT区域的热相关疾病患者更易发生院内死亡。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8973/11947014/5ed5b844cd6e/484_2025_2867_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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