Suppr超能文献

捷克共和国21个季节期间与流感相关的死亡情况。

Influenza-Related Deaths in the Czech Republic Over 21 Seasons.

作者信息

Kyncl Jan, Brabec Marek, Maly Marek, Simka Vojtech, Urban Ales

机构信息

Department of Infectious Diseases Epidemiology, National Institute of Public Health, Prague, Czech Republic.

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Third Faculty of Medicine, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic.

出版信息

Influenza Other Respir Viruses. 2025 Mar;19(3):e70072. doi: 10.1111/irv.70072.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Influenza is a relatively serious infection that causes considerable morbidity and mortality. Epidemics of influenza are reported almost every year.

METHODS

Based on the Czech national all-cause mortality and acute respiratory infection/influenza-like illness surveillance data for the 1999/2000 to 2019/2020 influenza seasons, excess deaths attributable to influenza were estimated using the threshold derived as 90th percentile of death counts during nonepidemic periods. Daily death counts broken by the 5-year age intervals were modelled via Poisson generalised additive model.

RESULTS

The estimated total number of excess deaths from influenza during study period was 22,306. Thus, the mean total of excess deaths related to influenza per season was 1062 for the age group 40-94 years. The total number of excess deaths increased steadily with age from the 40-44 age group to the 85-89 age group, which accounted for the highest percentage of excess deaths (17%), followed closely by the 80-84 age group (16%). The age groups 40-44 years and 45-49 years contributed the least (3% each). More than three quarters of excess deaths occurred at age 65 and over (17,027 cases; 76%). Relative numbers of excess deaths per 100,000 population peaked in the oldest age groups of 85-89 and 90-94 years.

CONCLUSIONS

We estimate that at least 0.98% of all-cause mortality throughout the study period was attributable to influenza in the Czech Republic. This excess is not negligible, and public health actions in the field of influenza prevention are vitally needed.

摘要

背景

流感是一种相对严重的感染性疾病,会导致相当高的发病率和死亡率。几乎每年都会报告流感疫情。

方法

基于1999/2000至2019/2020流感季节捷克全国全因死亡率以及急性呼吸道感染/流感样疾病监测数据,使用非流行期死亡人数第90百分位数得出的阈值来估计流感所致的超额死亡人数。按5岁年龄间隔划分的每日死亡人数通过泊松广义相加模型进行建模。

结果

研究期间估计的流感所致超额死亡总数为22306例。因此,40 - 94岁年龄组每个季节与流感相关的超额死亡平均总数为1062例。超额死亡总数从40 - 44岁年龄组到85 - 89岁年龄组随年龄稳步增加,其中85 - 89岁年龄组的超额死亡占比最高(17%),其次是80 - 84岁年龄组(16%)。40 - 44岁和45 - 49岁年龄组的贡献最少(各占3%)。超过四分之三的超额死亡发生在65岁及以上人群(17027例;76%)。每10万人口的超额死亡相对数在85 - 89岁和90 - 94岁的最高年龄组达到峰值。

结论

我们估计在捷克共和国整个研究期间,至少0.98%的全因死亡率可归因于流感。这种超额死亡率不可忽视,在流感预防领域急需采取公共卫生行动。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a165/11883282/c6c1040ec381/IRV-19-e70072-g001.jpg

文献AI研究员

20分钟写一篇综述,助力文献阅读效率提升50倍。

立即体验

用中文搜PubMed

大模型驱动的PubMed中文搜索引擎

马上搜索

文档翻译

学术文献翻译模型,支持多种主流文档格式。

立即体验