Song Yuzhe, Huang Lijuan, Jiang Cheng, Du Fang, Zhang Jing, Chang Peng
The Second School of Clinical Mdeical, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730030, China.
Department of Cardiology, Lanzhou University Second Hospital, Lanzhou, 730030, China.
Int J Cardiovasc Imaging. 2025 Apr;41(4):695-708. doi: 10.1007/s10554-025-03345-6. Epub 2025 Mar 10.
This study aimed to establish a clinical prediction model for assessing the degree of left atrial fibrosis (LAF) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) by combining two-dimensional speckle tracking echocardiography (2D-STE). Additionally, the study sought to evaluate the predictive utility of 2D-STE for left atrial appendage thrombosis (LAAT) and the recurrence of AF after radiofrequency catheter ablation (RFA). A total of 195 patients with AF were included, and late gadolinium enhanced cardiac magnetic resonance was adopted to assess LAF degree. Fibrotic tissue as a percentage of total left atrial wall volume > 20% was defined as severe LAF. Echocardiographic parameters were obtained and analyzed using 2D-STE. The patients were randomly divided into two cohorts (7:3) as the training and testing cohorts. Independent predictors of severe LAF were determined via univariate and multivariate logistic regression, including age, CHADS-VA score, left atrial appendage emptying fraction (LAA-EF), peak atrial longitudinal strain (PALS), left atrial stiffness index (LASI), left atrial strain during contraction phase (LASct) and left atrial strain during conduit phase (LAScd). The nomogram was established with the above variables and the area under the curve of the nomogram in testing cohorts was 0.89 (95% CI, 0.80-0.98). As validated by receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration curves and decision curve analysis, the nomogram model demonstrated promising potential for clinical application. Besides, by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses, CHADS-VA score, uric acid, LAA-EF, left atrial appendage peak blood flow emptying velocity (LAA-PEV) and LASct were found to be independent predictors of LAAT, and left atrial appendage length, E/e' and LASct were found to be independent predictors of post-ablation AF recurrence. 2D-STE can be applied to evaluate LAF degree of AF patients and predict LAAT and AF recurrence.
本研究旨在通过结合二维斑点追踪超声心动图(2D-STE)建立一种临床预测模型,以评估心房颤动(AF)患者的左心房纤维化(LAF)程度。此外,该研究还试图评估2D-STE对左心耳血栓形成(LAAT)及射频导管消融(RFA)后房颤复发的预测效用。共纳入195例AF患者,采用延迟钆增强心脏磁共振成像评估LAF程度。纤维化组织占左心房壁总体积的百分比>20%被定义为严重LAF。使用2D-STE获取并分析超声心动图参数。患者被随机分为两个队列(7:3)作为训练队列和测试队列。通过单因素和多因素逻辑回归确定严重LAF的独立预测因素,包括年龄、CHADS-VA评分、左心耳排空分数(LAA-EF)、心房纵向应变峰值(PALS)、左心房僵硬度指数(LASI)、收缩期左心房应变(LASct)和管道期左心房应变(LAScd)。利用上述变量建立列线图,测试队列中列线图的曲线下面积为0.89(95%CI,0.80-0.98)。经受试者工作特征曲线、校准曲线和决策曲线分析验证,列线图模型显示出良好的临床应用潜力。此外,通过单因素和多因素逻辑回归分析,发现CHADS-VA评分、尿酸、LAA-EF、左心耳峰值血流排空速度(LAA-PEV)和LASct是LAAT的独立预测因素;发现左心耳长度、E/e'和LASct是消融后房颤复发的独立预测因素。2D-STE可用于评估AF患者的LAF程度,并预测LAAT和房颤复发。