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离散事件模拟模型在慢性阻塞性肺疾病管理中的应用:一项系统综述。

Application of Discrete Event Simulation Models for COPD Management: A Systematic Review.

作者信息

Shuai Liu, Zhou Chunni, Zhou Jinyi, Hu Hao, Lai Yunfeng, Fan Lijun, Du Wei, Li Meng

机构信息

School of Public Health, Southeast University, Nanjing, People's Republic of China.

Department of Non-Communicable Chronic Disease Control, Jiangsu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanjing, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

Int J Chron Obstruct Pulmon Dis. 2025 Mar 12;20:685-698. doi: 10.2147/COPD.S501054. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

This systematic review aims to comprehensively assess the current application of discrete event simulation (DES) models in managing chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). By synthesizing and analyzing multiple studies, we incorporate the latest evidence, evaluate research quality, identify gaps, and provide recommendations for the future application of DES in COPD management.

METHODS

We systematically searched six electronic databases including PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, Cochrane, Econlit, and China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI) for articles published up to August 22, 2024. Reference lists of the included articles were also manually checked. Depending on the study type, we assessed quality using either the Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards (CHEERS) 2022 checklist or the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR) Practice Guidelines.

RESULTS

Out of the 273 records identified, nine studies met the inclusion criteria. All of these studies focused on health economic evaluations using DES in COPD management, and were conducted in high-income countries. The studies were divided into three groups based on the modeling systems they used: cost-effectiveness analyses of different pharmacological treatments (n=3), economic evaluations of case detection strategies (n=3), and assessments of various interventions on COPD healthcare services (n=3). All studies reported model validation methods (n=9); however, only two studies performed subgroup analysis.

CONCLUSION

This review highlights the current use of DES in COPD management and suggests avenues for future research and resource allocation to enhance the effectiveness of COPD interventions.

摘要

背景

本系统评价旨在全面评估离散事件模拟(DES)模型在慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)管理中的当前应用情况。通过综合分析多项研究,我们纳入最新证据,评估研究质量,找出差距,并为DES在COPD管理中的未来应用提供建议。

方法

我们系统检索了六个电子数据库,包括PubMed、Web of Science、Embase、Cochrane、Econlit和中国知网(CNKI),以查找截至2024年8月22日发表的文章。还手动检查了纳入文章的参考文献列表。根据研究类型,我们使用2022年《综合卫生经济评价报告标准》(CHEERS)清单或国际药物经济学和结果研究协会(ISPOR)实践指南评估质量。

结果

在识别出的273条记录中,有9项研究符合纳入标准。所有这些研究都聚焦于在COPD管理中使用DES进行卫生经济评价,且均在高收入国家开展。这些研究根据其使用的建模系统分为三组:不同药物治疗的成本效益分析(n = 3)、病例检测策略的经济评价(n = 3)以及对COPD医疗服务各种干预措施的评估(n = 3)。所有研究都报告了模型验证方法(n = 9);然而,只有两项研究进行了亚组分析。

结论

本综述突出了DES在COPD管理中的当前应用情况,并为未来研究和资源分配提出了途径,以提高COPD干预措施的有效性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9c9d/11910922/adcba67771f2/COPD-20-685-g0001.jpg

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