文献检索文档翻译深度研究
Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件
邀请有礼套餐&价格历史记录

新学期,新优惠

限时优惠:9月1日-9月22日

30天高级会员仅需29元

1天体验卡首发特惠仅需5.99元

了解详情
不再提醒
插件&应用
Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件浏览器插件Mac 客户端Windows 客户端微信小程序
高级版
套餐订阅购买积分包
AI 工具
文献检索文档翻译深度研究
关于我们
关于 Suppr公司介绍联系我们用户协议隐私条款
关注我们

Suppr 超能文献

核心技术专利:CN118964589B侵权必究
粤ICP备2023148730 号-1Suppr @ 2025

A novel fractal fractional mathematical model for HIV/AIDS transmission stability and sensitivity with numerical analysis.

作者信息

Khan Mukhtiar, Khan Nadeem, Ullah Ibad, Shah Kamal, Abdeljawad Thabet, Abdalla Bahaaeldin

机构信息

College of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, National Taiwan University, Taipei City, 10617, Taiwan.

Research Center for Information Technology Innovation, Academia Sinica, Taipei, 115201, Taiwan.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 Mar 18;15(1):9291. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-93436-0.


DOI:10.1038/s41598-025-93436-0
PMID:40102480
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11920445/
Abstract

Understanding the complex dynamics of HIV/AIDS transmission requires models that capture real-world progression and intervention impacts. This study introduces an innovative mathematical framework using fractal-fractional calculus to analyze HIV/AIDS dynamics, emphasizing memory effects and nonlocal interactions critical to disease spread. By dividing populations into four distinct compartments-susceptible individuals, infected individuals, those undergoing treatment, and individuals in advanced AIDS stages-the model reflects key phases of infection and therapeutic interventions. Unlike conventional approaches, the proposed nonlinear transmission function, [Formula: see text], accounts for varying infectivity levels across stages (where [Formula: see text] is the total population and ∇ denotes the effective contact rate), offering a nuanced view of how treatment efficacy ([Formula: see text]) and progression to AIDS ([Formula: see text]) shape transmission. The analytical framework combines rigorous mathematical exploration with practical insights. We derive the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] to assess outbreak potential and employ Lyapunov theory to establish global stability conditions. Using the Schauder fixed-point theorem, we prove the existence and uniqueness of solutions, while bifurcation analysis via center manifold theory reveals critical thresholds for disease persistence or elimination. We use a computational scheme that combines the Adams-Bashforth method with an interpolation-based correction technique to ensure numerical precision and confirm theoretical results. Sensitivity analysis highlights medication accessibility and delaying the spread of AIDS as a vital control strategy by identifying ([Formula: see text]) and ([Formula: see text]) as critical parameters. The numerical simulations illustrate the predictive ability of the model, which shows how fractal-fractional order affects outbreak trajectories and long-term disease burden. The framework outperforms conventional integer order models and produces more accurate epidemiological predictions by integrating memory-dependent transmission with fractional order flexibility. These findings demonstrate the model's value in developing targeted public health initiatives, particularly in environments with limited resources where disease monitoring and balancing treatment allocation is essential. In the end, our work provides a tool to better predict and manage the evolving challenges of HIV/AIDS by bridging the gap between theoretical mathematics and actual disease control.

摘要
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/964a/11920445/510e4d433e80/41598_2025_93436_Fig10_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/964a/11920445/9502499174cd/41598_2025_93436_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/964a/11920445/11854f504965/41598_2025_93436_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/964a/11920445/32896c005a1e/41598_2025_93436_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/964a/11920445/59efde4c7b31/41598_2025_93436_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/964a/11920445/79928c177bf3/41598_2025_93436_Fig5_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/964a/11920445/47df505ec9bd/41598_2025_93436_Fig6_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/964a/11920445/8ff689ec8c72/41598_2025_93436_Fig7_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/964a/11920445/f1d3cdf47e49/41598_2025_93436_Fig8_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/964a/11920445/455b01abb660/41598_2025_93436_Fig9_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/964a/11920445/510e4d433e80/41598_2025_93436_Fig10_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/964a/11920445/9502499174cd/41598_2025_93436_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/964a/11920445/11854f504965/41598_2025_93436_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/964a/11920445/32896c005a1e/41598_2025_93436_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/964a/11920445/59efde4c7b31/41598_2025_93436_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/964a/11920445/79928c177bf3/41598_2025_93436_Fig5_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/964a/11920445/47df505ec9bd/41598_2025_93436_Fig6_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/964a/11920445/8ff689ec8c72/41598_2025_93436_Fig7_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/964a/11920445/f1d3cdf47e49/41598_2025_93436_Fig8_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/964a/11920445/455b01abb660/41598_2025_93436_Fig9_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/964a/11920445/510e4d433e80/41598_2025_93436_Fig10_HTML.jpg

相似文献

[1]
A novel fractal fractional mathematical model for HIV/AIDS transmission stability and sensitivity with numerical analysis.

Sci Rep. 2025-3-18

[2]
A mathematical framework of HIV and TB co-infection dynamics.

Sci Rep. 2025-4-3

[3]
Fractal-fractional modeling and stability analysis of pine wilt disease dynamics.

PLoS One. 2025-2-12

[4]
Co-infection dynamics of COVID-19 and HIV/AIDS.

Sci Rep. 2023-10-27

[5]
Optimal vaccination model of airborne infection under variable humidity and demographic heterogeneity for hybrid fractional operator technique.

Sci Rep. 2025-4-26

[6]
Memory impacts in hepatitis C: A global analysis of a fractional-order model with an effective treatment.

Comput Methods Programs Biomed. 2024-9

[7]
Mathematical Analysis of the Transmission Dynamics of HIV Syphilis Co-infection in the Presence of Treatment for Syphilis.

Bull Math Biol. 2017-12-27

[8]
Fractal fractional model for tuberculosis: existence and numerical solutions.

Sci Rep. 2024-5-28

[9]
Folic acid supplementation and malaria susceptibility and severity among people taking antifolate antimalarial drugs in endemic areas.

Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2022-2-1

[10]
Investigation of fractal-fractional HIV infection by evaluating the drug therapy effect in the Atangana-Baleanu sense.

Math Biosci Eng. 2022-7-28

本文引用的文献

[1]
Dynamics of Mpox in an HIV endemic community: A mathematical modelling approach.

Math Biosci Eng. 2025-1-21

[2]
Behavior changes influence mpox transmission in the United States, 2022-2023: Insights from homogeneous and heterogeneous models.

PNAS Nexus. 2025-1-27

[3]
Dynamics and asymptotic profiles of a local-nonlocal dispersal SIR epidemic model with spatial heterogeneity.

Infect Dis Model. 2024-12-10

[4]
Robustness and exploration between the interplay of the nonlinear co-dynamics HIV/AIDS and pneumonia model via fractional differential operators and a probabilistic approach.

Sci Rep. 2024-7-23

[5]
Understanding the impact of HIV on mpox transmission in the MSM population: A mathematical modeling study.

Infect Dis Model. 2024-5-21

[6]
The global burden of HIV.

Clin Dermatol. 2024

[7]
Updated Data and Methods for the 2023 UNAIDS HIV Estimates.

J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr. 2024-1-1

[8]
Mathematical Modeling of the Lethal Synergism of Coinfecting Pathogens in Respiratory Viral Infections: A Review.

Microorganisms. 2023-12-13

[9]
Trends of HIV indicators in Egypt from 1990 to 2021: time-series analysis and forecast toward UNAIDS 90-90-90 targets.

BMC Public Health. 2023-4-1

[10]
HIV/AIDS-Pneumonia Codynamics Model Analysis with Vaccination and Treatment.

Comput Math Methods Med. 2022

文献AI研究员

20分钟写一篇综述,助力文献阅读效率提升50倍

立即体验

用中文搜PubMed

大模型驱动的PubMed中文搜索引擎

马上搜索

推荐工具

医学文档翻译智能文献检索