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Enhancing prognostic accuracy in invasive breast cancer by combining contrast-enhanced ultrasound and clinical data: a multicenter retrospective study.

作者信息

Li Shiyu, Li Yueming, Fang Yongqi, Jin Zhiying, Huang Sisi, Wang Wei, Mokbel Kefah, Xu Yongjie, Yang Hua, Wang Zhili

机构信息

PLA Medical School, Beijing, China.

Department of Ultrasound, The First Medical Center of PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China.

出版信息

Transl Cancer Res. 2025 Feb 28;14(2):1336-1358. doi: 10.21037/tcr-2025-96. Epub 2025 Feb 26.


DOI:10.21037/tcr-2025-96
PMID:40104733
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11912060/
Abstract

BACKGROUND: Current predictive models for disease-free survival (DFS) in invasive breast cancer predominantly utilize clinical and pathological factors, with minimal incorporation of ultrasound (US) and contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) characteristics. This study aimed to establish a multimodal map integrating US, clinical features, and US data to enhance the prediction of DFS in invasive breast cancer. METHODS: The study utilized three retrospective datasets obtained from three academic medical centers, covering the period from March 2014 to December 2022. Clinical data, gray scale US, and CEUS were assessed in 942 adult patients undergoing breast cancer resection. The training and internal test sets were supplied by The First Medical Center of the PLA General Hospital, while the external test sets were sourced from The Fourth Medical Center of the PLA General Hospital and the Specialist Medical Center of the Strategic Support Forces. The patients were followed up by phone or clinic visits. DFS was evaluated as a prognostic outcome. Cox regression analysis identified prognostic factors, leading to the construction of three nomograms. The model performance was evaluated using the C-index, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration, decision curve analysis (DCA), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and net reclassification index (NRI). RESULTS: A total of 942 patients were enrolled, with a mean age of 51.91 years [interquartile range (IQR), 44.25-58.69 years]. The patients were included with the median DFS of 36 months. Cox regression analysis identified menopausal status, body mass index (BMI), color Doppler flow imaging (CDFI), tumor size on CEUS, adjuvant/neoadjuvant chemotherapy, progesterone receptor (PR) status, and tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging as significant risk factors for invasive breast cancer. The nomogram combining US, CEUS, and clinical data demonstrated excellent predictive performance, achieving a C-index of 0.811 in the training set, 0.816 in the internal validation set, and 0.819 in the external validation set. Calibration curves confirmed that the predicted survival probabilities aligned closely with observed outcomes. Comparative analysis of ROC curves, IDI, NRI, and DCA confirmed that the integrated nomogram outperformed models based solely on US and clinical data or clinical data alone in predicting 24- and 36-month DFS. CONCLUSIONS: The integration of CEUS and clinical factors for non-invasive DFS prediction improves personalized risk stratification, minimizing unnecessary interventions for low-risk patients and ensuring adequate monitoring for high-risk individuals. Additional prospective validation is required to establish its clinical applicability and incorporation into standard oncology practice.

摘要
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6fe3/11912060/c06608599639/tcr-14-02-1336-f10.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6fe3/11912060/22f1e57dfd03/tcr-14-02-1336-f1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6fe3/11912060/73b2dcaf32f5/tcr-14-02-1336-f2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6fe3/11912060/64e90e78e939/tcr-14-02-1336-f3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6fe3/11912060/33d0d8e5617b/tcr-14-02-1336-f4.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6fe3/11912060/5046fcec5f3c/tcr-14-02-1336-f5.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6fe3/11912060/e701afaa3806/tcr-14-02-1336-f6.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6fe3/11912060/1d01cb77f160/tcr-14-02-1336-f7.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6fe3/11912060/9246b7c2f9ef/tcr-14-02-1336-f8.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6fe3/11912060/1e6f02e850c9/tcr-14-02-1336-f9.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6fe3/11912060/c06608599639/tcr-14-02-1336-f10.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6fe3/11912060/22f1e57dfd03/tcr-14-02-1336-f1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6fe3/11912060/73b2dcaf32f5/tcr-14-02-1336-f2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6fe3/11912060/64e90e78e939/tcr-14-02-1336-f3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6fe3/11912060/33d0d8e5617b/tcr-14-02-1336-f4.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6fe3/11912060/5046fcec5f3c/tcr-14-02-1336-f5.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6fe3/11912060/e701afaa3806/tcr-14-02-1336-f6.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6fe3/11912060/1d01cb77f160/tcr-14-02-1336-f7.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6fe3/11912060/9246b7c2f9ef/tcr-14-02-1336-f8.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6fe3/11912060/1e6f02e850c9/tcr-14-02-1336-f9.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6fe3/11912060/c06608599639/tcr-14-02-1336-f10.jpg

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Enhancing prognostic accuracy in invasive breast cancer by combining contrast-enhanced ultrasound and clinical data: a multicenter retrospective study.

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引用本文的文献

[1]
Diagnostic test of conventional ultrasonography combined with contrast-enhanced ultrasound in the subcategorization of suspicious Breast Imaging-Reporting and Data System (BI-RADS) 4 breast lesions.

Transl Cancer Res. 2025-3-30

本文引用的文献

[1]
Survival outcomes, multidimensional prediction and subsequent therapy in patients with hormone receptor-positive advanced breast cancer receiving palbociclib: a real-world analysis.

Gland Surg. 2024-12-31

[2]
Construction of a prognostic survival model with tumor immune-related genes for breast cancer.

Transl Cancer Res. 2024-12-31

[3]
Establishment and verification of a prognostic immune cell signature-based model for breast cancer overall survival.

Transl Cancer Res. 2024-10-31

[4]
Breast Cancer, Version 3.2024, NCCN Clinical Practice Guidelines in Oncology.

J Natl Compr Canc Netw. 2024-7

[5]
Breast cancer highlights from 2023: Knowledge to guide practice and future research.

Breast. 2024-4

[6]
F-FDG PET/CT-based deep learning radiomics predicts 5-years disease-free survival after failure to achieve pathologic complete response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in breast cancer.

EJNMMI Res. 2023-12-6

[7]
Machine learning-based models for the prediction of breast cancer recurrence risk.

BMC Med Inform Decis Mak. 2023-11-29

[8]
Nomogram prediction of the 70-gene signature (MammaPrint) binary and quartile categorized risk using medical history, imaging features and clinicopathological data among Chinese breast cancer patients.

J Transl Med. 2023-11-9

[9]
Ipsilateral breast tumor recurrence after breast-conserving surgery: insights into biology and treatment.

Breast Cancer Res Treat. 2023-11

[10]
Diagnostic value of contrast-enhanced ultrasound for sentinel lymph node metastasis in breast cancer: an updated meta-analysis.

Breast Cancer Res Treat. 2023-11

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