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埃塞俄比亚狂犬病的发病率、危险因素及防控:一项系统评价与荟萃分析

Incidence, risk factors, and control of Rabies in Ethiopia: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

作者信息

Regassa Belay Tafa, Tosisa Wagi, Eshetu Daniel, Mulu Andargachew, Hundie Gadissa Bedada

机构信息

Department of Medical Laboratory Sciences, College of Health Sciences and Referral Hospital, Ambo University, Ambo, Ethiopia.

Department of Microbiology, Yirgalem Hospital Medical College, Sidama Regional State, Yirgalem, Ethiopia.

出版信息

PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2025 Mar 19;19(3):e0012874. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0012874. eCollection 2025 Mar.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Globally, rabies is found in several geographical areas, with tens of thousands of deaths annually, mainly in developing countries. However, though Ethiopia is highly endemic for rabies, the overall risk of rabies has not yet been estimated. Hence, this systematic review and meta-analysis aimed at estimating a pooled incidence rate of human exposure to suspected rabid animals as well as the incidence rates of rabies in humans and other domestic animals.

METHODS

Published articles search was systematically performed through PubMed, Scopus, Embase, and Web of Science databases to identify the available studies on rabies until October 2023. The Joanna Brigg's Institute (JBI) critical appraisal checklists were used for assessing the quality of the studies. The PRISMA 2020 guideline was followed. A qualitative synthesis was made describing the characteristics of the included studies. The quantitative synthesis was performed with a random effects model using Comprehensive Meta-Analysis (CMA) version 3.0 software. The Q statistic quantified by I2 was used to check for heterogeneity among the included studies. To explain the source of heterogeneity, subgroup analysis was performed. Egger's regression test was used to evaluate publication biases. This study is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42023468791.

RESULTS

For this study, a total of 439 articles were retrieved; of which fifteen studies were included in the final review. The annual pooled incidence rate of human exposure to suspected rabid animals was 33.65 (95% CI: 31.82 to 35.49) per 100,000 humans. The suspected rabies deaths in humans were also estimated to be 4.57 (95% CI: 2.93 to 6.21) per one million humans annually. In both cases, considerable heterogeneities were presented across the included studies, and obvious publication biases were detected using Egger's regression test. Among animals, the highest combined estimate per 100,000 population was recorded in dogs, 120.99 (95% CI: 46.29 to 195.69), followed by equines and cattle, with pooled incidence rates of 19.57 (95% CI: -1.85 to 40.98) and 18.08 (95% CI: 1 to 35.15), respectively. It was also described that human exposure to rabid animals and human rabies deaths were more common among children.

CONCLUSIONS

The current study showed a high pooled incidence rate of human exposure to rabid animals. Significant overall incidence rates of rabies in humans and animals were also indicated. Therefore, strengthening intersectoral and transdisciplinary collaborations through one health approach are key components for rabies prevention and control.

摘要

背景

在全球范围内,狂犬病存在于多个地理区域,每年导致数万人死亡,主要集中在发展中国家。然而,尽管埃塞俄比亚是狂犬病的高度流行地区,但尚未对狂犬病的总体风险进行评估。因此,本系统评价和荟萃分析旨在估计人类接触疑似狂犬病动物的合并发病率以及人类和其他家畜的狂犬病发病率。

方法

通过PubMed、Scopus、Embase和Web of Science数据库系统检索已发表的文章,以识别截至2023年10月关于狂犬病的现有研究。使用乔安娜·布里格斯研究所(JBI)的批判性评价清单来评估研究质量。遵循PRISMA 2020指南。进行了定性综合,描述了纳入研究的特征。使用Comprehensive Meta-Analysis(CMA)3.0软件的随机效应模型进行定量综合。通过I²量化的Q统计量用于检查纳入研究之间的异质性。为了解释异质性的来源,进行了亚组分析。使用Egger回归检验评估发表偏倚。本研究已在PROSPERO注册,注册号为CRD42023468791。

结果

本研究共检索到439篇文章;其中15项研究纳入最终评价。人类接触疑似狂犬病动物的年合并发病率为每10万人33.65(95%CI:31.82至35.49)。估计人类每年每100万人中疑似狂犬病死亡人数为4.57(95%CI:2.93至6.21)。在这两种情况下,纳入研究之间均存在相当大的异质性,并且使用Egger回归检验检测到明显的发表偏倚。在动物中,每10万人口中合并估计发病率最高的是狗,为120.99(95%CI:46.29至195.69),其次是马和牛,合并发病率分别为19.57(95%CI:-1.85至40.98)和18.08(95%CI:1至35.15)。还描述了儿童中人类接触狂犬病动物和人类狂犬病死亡更为常见。

结论

当前研究显示人类接触狂犬病动物有较高的合并发病率。还表明人类和动物狂犬病的总体发病率较高。因此,通过“同一健康”方法加强部门间和跨学科合作是狂犬病预防和控制的关键组成部分。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7463/11922250/689a20607fc9/pntd.0012874.g001.jpg

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