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比较圣地亚哥都会区房地产评估的自动估值模型:一项关于机器学习算法和带空间调整的享乐定价的研究。

Comparing automated valuation models for real estate assessment in the Santiago Metropolitan Region: A study on machine learning algorithms and hedonic pricing with spatial adjustments.

作者信息

Tapia Jocelyn, Chavez-Garzon Nicolas, Pezoa Raúl, Suarez-Aldunate Paulina, Pilleux Mauricio

机构信息

Department of Business Engineering, Universidad Técnica Federico Santa María, Santiago, Chile.

School of Industrial Engineering, Faculty of Engineering and Sciences, Universidad Diego Portales, Santiago, Chile.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2025 Mar 25;20(3):e0318701. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0318701. eCollection 2025.

DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0318701
PMID:40131997
Abstract

This study compares the precision and interpretability of two automated valuation models for evaluating the real estate market in the Santiago Metropolitan Region of Chile: machine learning algorithms, specifically LightGBM, and hedonic prices with spatial adjustments (SAR). Traditional residence attributes, such as housing amenities and proximity to services, were considered alongside visual information extracted from images using Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN). The research evaluates the influence of each model characteristic on performance metrics and identifies the relative importance of attributes using the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) algorithm. The results demonstrate the positive impact of image-based variables on performance metrics, showing that the introduction of visual information can considerably reduce error margins when estimating housing prices. In addition, the SHAP algorithm reveals complex non-linear interactions between price and crucial variables such as total surface area and neighborhood attributes, highlighting the importance of using methods that can capture these effects. Likewise, both LightGBM and SAR models indicate that variables that have the most significant impact on the value of properties are total surface area, municipality quality index, average academic level of nearby schools, and the number of bathrooms.

摘要

本研究比较了用于评估智利圣地亚哥首都大区房地产市场的两种自动估值模型的精度和可解释性

机器学习算法,特别是LightGBM,以及带空间调整的特征价格法(SAR)。除了使用卷积神经网络(CNN)从图像中提取的视觉信息外,还考虑了传统的住宅属性,如住房设施和与服务设施的距离。该研究评估了每个模型特征对性能指标的影响,并使用SHapley加性解释(SHAP)算法确定属性的相对重要性。结果表明基于图像的变量对性能指标有积极影响,表明引入视觉信息在估计房价时可大幅降低误差幅度。此外,SHAP算法揭示了价格与关键变量(如总面积和邻里属性)之间复杂的非线性相互作用,突出了使用能够捕捉这些影响的方法的重要性。同样,LightGBM和SAR模型均表明,对房产价值影响最大的变量是总面积、市政质量指数、附近学校的平均学术水平和浴室数量。

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