Ye Lei, Xu Xiaoyu, Liu Lijuan, Chen Fangmei, Xia Guanghui
Affiliated Nanjing Brain Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Guangzhou Road, No.264, Nanjing, Jiangsu, 210024, China.
Department of Nursing, Nanjing Chest Hospital, Nanjing, China.
Support Care Cancer. 2025 Mar 25;33(4):320. doi: 10.1007/s00520-025-09383-z.
The nursing science precision health (NSPH) model considers identifying the biological basis of symptoms in order to develop precise intervention strategies that ultimately improve the overall health of the symptomatic individual. This study sought to construct a nomogram for predicting cancer-related cognitive impairment (CRCI) in patients with lung cancer within the context of the NSPH model.
A cohort of 252 patients with lung cancer was prospectively collected and randomly divided into training and validation cohorts in a 7:3 ratio. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression method optimized variable selection, followed by multivariate logistic regression to develop a model, which subsequently formed the basis for the nomogram. The nomogram's discrimination and calibration were evaluated using a calibration plot, the Hosmer-Lemeshow test, and the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC). Decision curve analysis (DCA) quantified the net benefits of the nomogram across various threshold probabilities.
Five pivotal variables were incorporated into the nomogram: age (≥ 65 years), treatment, education level, albumin, and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR). The area under the ROC curve (0.970 for the training cohort and 0.973 for the validation cohort) demonstrated the nomogram's excellent discriminative ability. Calibration curves closely aligning with ideal curves indicated accurate predictive capability. Moreover, the nomogram exhibited a positive net benefit for predicted probability thresholds ranging from 1 to 98% in DCA.
Key risk factors, including advanced age (≥ 65 years), low education level, combined chemotherapy, low albumin, and high PLR, were significantly associated with higher CRCI incidence. This nomogram model has good performance and can help identify CRCI with high accuracy in lung cancer patients.
护理科学精准健康(NSPH)模型考虑识别症状的生物学基础,以制定精准干预策略,最终改善有症状个体的整体健康状况。本研究旨在在NSPH模型的背景下构建一个用于预测肺癌患者癌症相关认知障碍(CRCI)的列线图。
前瞻性收集了252例肺癌患者队列,并以7:3的比例随机分为训练队列和验证队列。采用最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)回归方法优化变量选择,随后进行多因素逻辑回归以建立模型,该模型随后构成列线图的基础。使用校准图、Hosmer-Lemeshow检验和受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)评估列线图的辨别力和校准情况。决策曲线分析(DCA)量化了列线图在各种阈值概率下的净效益。
五个关键变量被纳入列线图:年龄(≥65岁)、治疗方式、教育水平、白蛋白和血小板与淋巴细胞比值(PLR)。ROC曲线下面积(训练队列中为0.970,验证队列中为0.973)表明列线图具有出色的辨别能力。与理想曲线紧密对齐的校准曲线表明预测能力准确。此外,在DCA中,列线图在预测概率阈值为1%至98%时显示出正净效益。
关键风险因素,包括高龄(≥65岁)、低教育水平、联合化疗、低白蛋白和高PLR,与较高的CRCI发生率显著相关。该列线图模型具有良好的性能,可帮助准确识别肺癌患者中的CRCI。