Centre d'Estudis Demogràfics (CED), Autonomous University of Barcelona (UAB), Barcelona, Spain.
Unidad de Nutrición Pública, Instituto de la Nutrición y Tecnología de los Alimentos (INTA), Universidad de Chile, Santiago, Chile.
PLoS One. 2021 Mar 12;16(3):e0248179. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0248179. eCollection 2021.
We study the health trajectories of the population aged over 60, comparing between one European and two Latin American countries (Spain, Chile and Costa Rica) which have similar longevity patterns. Our focus is on functional limitation and mortality risks, considering differences by gender, education and social participation. Data come from national panel surveys (EPS, CRELES, SHARE). Multistate modelling is used to estimate transition probabilities between two health states: healthy to unhealthy, unhealthy to healthy as well as the transition to death from healthy or unhealthy states, to estimate the duration of stay in a specific state (computing healthy and unhealthy life expectancies) and the effect of the selected covariates. Results show that older Costa Ricans have the smallest gender gap in life expectancy but women have a lower healthy life expectancy compared to those in Chile and Spain. Participation in social activities leads to higher healthy life expectancy among the elderly in Costa Rica and Spain, whilst there were no relevant educational differences observed in longevity in the analysed countries. To conclude: despite the different patterns observed in health transitions and survival across the three countries, social participation is associated with greater health and longevity among people of old age, with little effect coming from educational attainment. Public policies should therefore be aimed at reducing unhealthy life years and dependency at advanced ages by promoting more engagement in social activities, especially among vulnerable groups who are more likely to experience impairment from a younger age.
我们研究了 60 岁以上人群的健康轨迹,比较了两个拉丁美洲国家(智利和哥斯达黎加)和一个欧洲国家(西班牙)的健康轨迹,这三个国家的长寿模式相似。我们关注的是功能障碍和死亡风险,同时考虑了性别、教育和社会参与方面的差异。数据来自国家面板调查(EPS、CRELES、SHARE)。多状态模型用于估计两种健康状态之间的转移概率:健康到不健康,不健康到健康,以及从健康或不健康状态向死亡的转移,以估计在特定状态下的停留时间(计算健康和不健康的预期寿命)和选定协变量的影响。结果表明,哥斯达黎加的老年男性和女性之间的预期寿命差距最小,但女性的健康预期寿命比智利和西班牙的女性低。参与社会活动会导致哥斯达黎加和西班牙的老年人的健康预期寿命更高,而在所分析的国家中,教育程度对长寿没有显著影响。总之:尽管在这三个国家中观察到健康过渡和生存的模式不同,但社会参与与老年人的健康和长寿有关,而教育程度的影响很小。因此,公共政策应旨在通过促进更多的社会参与,特别是在更容易从年轻时就出现功能障碍的弱势群体中,来减少老年人的不健康生活年数和依赖性。