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医疗保险覆盖在降低埃塞俄比亚五岁以下儿童死亡率中的保护作用:冈珀茨逆高斯共享脆弱性建模

Protective role of health insurance coverage in reducing under-five mortality in Ethiopia: Gompertz inverse-Gaussian shared frailty modelling.

作者信息

Kase Bizunesh Fantahun, Seifu Beminate Lemma, Mare Kusse Urmale, Shibeshi Abdu Hailu, Asebe Hiwot Altaye, Sabo Kebede Gemeda, Asmare Zufan Alamrie, Asgedom Yordanos Sisay, Fente Bezawit Melak, Alemu Afework, Tebeje Tsion Mulat

机构信息

Department of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Samara University, Samara, Ethiopia

Department of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Samara University, Samara, Ethiopia.

出版信息

BMJ Open. 2025 Mar 27;15(3):e095665. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2024-095665.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To determine the association between health insurance coverage and under-five mortality in Ethiopia using data from the 2016 Ethiopia Demographic and Health Survey (EDHS).

METHODS

The current study used a total of 10 641 under-five children from the 2016 EDHS. To identify the predictors, the Gompertz inverse-Gaussian shared frailty model was fitted. The theta value, Akaike Information Criteria and Bayesian Information Criteria were applied for model evaluation, and variables with p values less than 0.2 were included in the multivariable analysis. The strength and statistical significance of the associations were demonstrated by reporting the adjusted HR (AHR) with a 95% CI in the multivariable Gompertz inverse-Gaussian shared frailty model.

RESULTS

According to the study's findings, 96.46% of the children were born to mothers not covered by health insurance. The study found that health insurance coverage was significantly associated with a lower risk of under-five mortality (not covered: AHR=0.13; 95% CI 0.02, 0.95). Other factors that showed significant associations with under-five mortality include place of residency, family size, twin status, place of delivery and preceding birth interval.

CONCLUSION

The findings indicate that health insurance coverage in Ethiopia is significantly associated with a lower risk of mortality among children under five. However, coverage remains low among mothers of these children, highlighting an urgent need for policies and interventions aimed at expanding health insurance coverage and addressing key determinants of child health to reduce under-five mortality and improve child survival outcomes. Addressing gaps in health insurance and other contributing factors is vital for creating effective strategies to lower under-five mortality rates.

摘要

目的

利用2016年埃塞俄比亚人口与健康调查(EDHS)的数据,确定埃塞俄比亚医疗保险覆盖情况与五岁以下儿童死亡率之间的关联。

方法

本研究共使用了来自2016年EDHS的10641名五岁以下儿童的数据。为了确定预测因素,拟合了Gompertz逆高斯共享脆弱模型。使用theta值、赤池信息准则和贝叶斯信息准则进行模型评估,p值小于0.2的变量纳入多变量分析。通过在多变量Gompertz逆高斯共享脆弱模型中报告调整后的风险比(AHR)及95%置信区间(CI),来证明关联的强度和统计学意义。

结果

根据研究结果,96.46%的儿童母亲未参加医疗保险。研究发现,医疗保险覆盖与五岁以下儿童死亡风险较低显著相关(未参保:AHR=0.13;95%CI 0.02,0.95)。与五岁以下儿童死亡率显著相关的其他因素包括居住地点、家庭规模、双胞胎状况、分娩地点和上次生育间隔。

结论

研究结果表明,埃塞俄比亚的医疗保险覆盖与五岁以下儿童较低的死亡风险显著相关。然而,这些儿童母亲的参保率仍然很低,这突出表明迫切需要制定政策和采取干预措施,以扩大医疗保险覆盖范围并解决儿童健康的关键决定因素,从而降低五岁以下儿童死亡率并改善儿童生存状况。弥补医疗保险和其他影响因素方面的差距对于制定降低五岁以下儿童死亡率的有效策略至关重要。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d0c8/11956291/3563e9f85caa/bmjopen-15-3-g001.jpg

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