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识别影响脊柱手术后住院时间的关键因素:一个综合预测模型。

Identifying Key Factors Influencing Hospital Stay After Spine Surgery: A Comprehensive Predictive Model.

作者信息

Langella Francesco, Barile Francesca, Bellosta-Lòpez Pablo, Fusini Federico, Compagnone Domenico, Vanni Daniele, Damilano Marco, Berjano Pedro

机构信息

IRCCS Ospedale Galeazzi-Sant'Ambrogio, Milan, Italy.

Universidad San Jorge, Campus Universitario, Villanueva de Gállego, Zaragoza, Spain.

出版信息

Global Spine J. 2025 Apr 1:21925682251331451. doi: 10.1177/21925682251331451.

DOI:10.1177/21925682251331451
PMID:40168554
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11962937/
Abstract

Study DesignRetrospective Cohort Study.ObjectivesTo develop and validate a multivariable predictive model for length of hospital stay (LOS) following spine surgery, incorporating sociodemographic characteristics, medical data, and self-reported patient outcomes.MethodsA retrospective analysis of 4583 patients from a spine surgery registry was conduct-ed. Predictors included age, sex, BMI, ASA score, surgical complexity, and patient-reported outcomes. Binary logistic regression was used to model LOS (<3 days vs ≥3 days).ResultsLower age, active work status, lower ASA scores, and specific surgical procedures were associated with shorter LOS. The model demonstrated good accuracy and dis-criminative ability.ConclusionsSociodemographic, medical, and patient-reported outcomes are valuable predictors of LOS. These findings can help improve preoperative planning and resource allocation in spine surgery.

摘要

研究设计

回顾性队列研究。

目的

建立并验证一个用于预测脊柱手术后住院时间(LOS)的多变量预测模型,该模型纳入社会人口统计学特征、医学数据和患者自我报告的结果。

方法

对来自脊柱手术登记处的4583例患者进行回顾性分析。预测因素包括年龄、性别、体重指数(BMI)、美国麻醉医师协会(ASA)评分、手术复杂性和患者报告的结果。采用二元逻辑回归对住院时间(<3天与≥3天)进行建模。

结果

年龄较小、在职状态、较低的ASA评分以及特定的手术方式与较短的住院时间相关。该模型显示出良好的准确性和判别能力。

结论

社会人口统计学、医学和患者报告的结果是住院时间的重要预测因素。这些发现有助于改善脊柱手术的术前规划和资源分配。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bb93/11962937/44a86c90c628/10.1177_21925682251331451-fig1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bb93/11962937/44a86c90c628/10.1177_21925682251331451-fig1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bb93/11962937/44a86c90c628/10.1177_21925682251331451-fig1.jpg

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本文引用的文献

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Acta Neurochir (Wien). 2022 Oct;164(10):2655-2665. doi: 10.1007/s00701-022-05334-3. Epub 2022 Aug 4.
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Performance of Artificial Intelligence-Based Algorithms to Predict Prolonged Length of Stay after Lumbar Decompression Surgery.基于人工智能的算法预测腰椎减压手术后住院时间延长的性能
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The Influence of Baseline Clinical Status and Surgical Strategy on Early Good to Excellent Result in Spinal Lumbar Arthrodesis: A Machine Learning Approach.
基线临床状态和手术策略对腰椎融合术早期良好至优秀结果的影响:一种机器学习方法。
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The use of electronic PROMs provides same outcomes as paper version in a spine surgery registry. Results from a prospective cohort study.电子 PROMs 的使用在脊柱手术注册研究中提供了与纸质版相同的结果。一项前瞻性队列研究的结果。
Eur Spine J. 2021 Sep;30(9):2645-2653. doi: 10.1007/s00586-021-06834-z. Epub 2021 May 10.
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Factors associated with length of stay after single-level posterior thoracolumbar instrumented fusion primarily for degenerative spondylolisthesis.主要针对退行性腰椎滑脱症的单节段后路胸腰椎内固定融合术后住院时间的相关因素。
Surg Neurol Int. 2021 Feb 10;12:48. doi: 10.25259/SNI_954_2020. eCollection 2021.
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