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识别影响脊柱手术后住院时间的关键因素:一个综合预测模型。

Identifying Key Factors Influencing Hospital Stay After Spine Surgery: A Comprehensive Predictive Model.

作者信息

Langella Francesco, Barile Francesca, Bellosta-Lòpez Pablo, Fusini Federico, Compagnone Domenico, Vanni Daniele, Damilano Marco, Berjano Pedro

机构信息

IRCCS Ospedale Galeazzi-Sant'Ambrogio, Milan, Italy.

Universidad San Jorge, Campus Universitario, Villanueva de Gállego, Zaragoza, Spain.

出版信息

Global Spine J. 2025 Apr 1:21925682251331451. doi: 10.1177/21925682251331451.

Abstract

Study DesignRetrospective Cohort Study.ObjectivesTo develop and validate a multivariable predictive model for length of hospital stay (LOS) following spine surgery, incorporating sociodemographic characteristics, medical data, and self-reported patient outcomes.MethodsA retrospective analysis of 4583 patients from a spine surgery registry was conduct-ed. Predictors included age, sex, BMI, ASA score, surgical complexity, and patient-reported outcomes. Binary logistic regression was used to model LOS (<3 days vs ≥3 days).ResultsLower age, active work status, lower ASA scores, and specific surgical procedures were associated with shorter LOS. The model demonstrated good accuracy and dis-criminative ability.ConclusionsSociodemographic, medical, and patient-reported outcomes are valuable predictors of LOS. These findings can help improve preoperative planning and resource allocation in spine surgery.

摘要

研究设计

回顾性队列研究。

目的

建立并验证一个用于预测脊柱手术后住院时间(LOS)的多变量预测模型,该模型纳入社会人口统计学特征、医学数据和患者自我报告的结果。

方法

对来自脊柱手术登记处的4583例患者进行回顾性分析。预测因素包括年龄、性别、体重指数(BMI)、美国麻醉医师协会(ASA)评分、手术复杂性和患者报告的结果。采用二元逻辑回归对住院时间(<3天与≥3天)进行建模。

结果

年龄较小、在职状态、较低的ASA评分以及特定的手术方式与较短的住院时间相关。该模型显示出良好的准确性和判别能力。

结论

社会人口统计学、医学和患者报告的结果是住院时间的重要预测因素。这些发现有助于改善脊柱手术的术前规划和资源分配。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bb93/11962937/44a86c90c628/10.1177_21925682251331451-fig1.jpg

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