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血红蛋白-白蛋白-淋巴细胞-血小板指数与793例因慢性阻塞性肺疾病急性加重住院的成年患者的院内死亡风险

Hemoglobin-Albumin-Lymphocyte-Platelet Index and Risk of In-Hospital Mortality in 793 Adult Patients Hospitalized for Acute Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.

作者信息

Akbay Makbule Ozlem, Ernam Dilek, Sertcelik Lale, Ozbaki Fatma

机构信息

Department of Chest Diseases, University of Health Sciences Istanbul Sureyyapasa Chest Diseases and Thoracic Surgery Training and Research Hospital, Istanbul, Turkey.

出版信息

Med Sci Monit. 2025 Apr 5;31:e947098. doi: 10.12659/MSM.947098.

Abstract

BACKGROUND Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a progressive inflammatory condition of the airways, recognized as a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Acute exacerbations of COPD (AECOPD) significantly worsen clinical outcomes and often result in hospitalization, which is linked to increased mortality and a substantial socioeconomic burden. This study aimed to evaluate the role of the hemoglobin-albumin-lymphocyte-platelet (HALP) index in predicting the risk of in-hospital mortality in adult patients hospitalized for AECOPD. MATERIAL AND METHODS A total of 793 patients (mean±SD age: 71.5±10.2 years, range 23.8-98.4 years, 69.1% males) hospitalized with AECOPD were included in this retrospective cohort study. Data on patient demographics, comorbidities, laboratory findings on the day of hospital admission, intensive care unit (ICU) stay (on initial admission or over the course of hospitalization), and in-hospital mortality rates were recorded. The factors predicting in-hospital mortality risk were analyzed via multivariate logistic regression analysis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to determine the performance of HALP score in identifying patients at risk of in-hospital mortality. RESULTS Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed a significant association of lower HALP scores (OR 0.758, 95% CI: 0.586 to 0.980, P=0.034) with increased risk of in-hospital mortality. ROC curve analysis revealed the HALP score to identify patients at risk of in-hospital mortality at a cut-off value of <16.84 (area under curve [AUC]: 0.678, 95% CI: 0.615-0.742, P<0.001) with a sensitivity of 69.1%, specificity of 60.4%, and a NPV of 96.3%. CONCLUSIONS Our findings indicate that the HALP score (at a cut-off value of <16.84) can identify AECOPD patients at high risk of in-hospital mortality, emphasizing its potential use as a simple immune-nutritional prognostic biomarker in assisting accurate prognostic assessment and timely adjustment of treatment options in at-risk patients.

摘要

背景 慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)是一种气道进行性炎症性疾病,被认为是全球发病和死亡的主要原因。慢性阻塞性肺疾病急性加重(AECOPD)会显著恶化临床结局,常导致住院治疗,这与死亡率增加及巨大的社会经济负担相关。本研究旨在评估血红蛋白-白蛋白-淋巴细胞-血小板(HALP)指数在预测因AECOPD住院的成年患者院内死亡风险中的作用。

材料与方法 本回顾性队列研究纳入了793例因AECOPD住院的患者(平均±标准差年龄:71.5±10.2岁,范围23.8 - 98.4岁,男性占69.1%)。记录了患者的人口统计学数据、合并症、入院当天的实验室检查结果、重症监护病房(ICU)住院情况(初次入院时或住院期间)以及院内死亡率。通过多因素逻辑回归分析来分析预测院内死亡风险的因素。进行受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析,以确定HALP评分在识别有院内死亡风险患者方面的性能。

结果 多因素逻辑回归分析显示,较低的HALP评分(比值比0.758,95%置信区间:0.586至0.980,P = 0.034)与院内死亡风险增加显著相关。ROC曲线分析显示,HALP评分在临界值<16.84时可识别有院内死亡风险的患者(曲线下面积[AUC]:0.678,95%置信区间:0.615 - 0.742,P<0.001),敏感性为69.1%,特异性为60.4%,阴性预测值为96.3%。

结论 我们的研究结果表明,HALP评分(临界值<16.84)可以识别有院内高死亡风险的AECOPD患者,强调了其作为一种简单的免疫营养预后生物标志物在协助对高危患者进行准确预后评估和及时调整治疗方案方面的潜在用途。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/663e/11980517/5ea2a6fb90fd/medscimonit-31-e947098-g001.jpg

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