Değerli Hakan, Acar Yasin, Ankara Hasan Giray
Vocational School of Health Services, Department of Medical Services and Techniques, Bilecik Şeyh Edebali University, Bilecik, Türkiye.
Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Department of Public Finance, Bilecik Şeyh Edebali University, Bilecik, Türkiye.
BMC Public Health. 2025 Apr 11;25(1):1367. doi: 10.1186/s12889-025-22639-x.
Smoking bans aim to reduce tobacco use, but their long-term effectiveness remains uncertain. This study investigates short- and long-term causal effects of Türkiye's indoor smoking ban policy on the intentions to quit smoking among adults.
Using three waves of data (2008, 2012, and 2016) from the Global Adult Tobacco Survey (GATS), we analyse the changes in intentions to quit smoking before and after the implementation of indoor smoking ban policy in July 2009. The analysis includes data from 2008 as the pre-policy period, 2012 as the short post-policy period, and 2016 as a long post-policy period, to observe both initial and sustained effects.
Results indicate a modest positive effect shortly after the ban's implementation, with a 2% increase in the log odds of intention to quit smoking in 2012 among the individuals exposed to the ban. However, by 2016, the effect appears to vanish, with a 11% decrease in the log odds of intention to quit smoking among those exposed to the ban over a prolonged period.
Overall, the study suggests that while the smoking ban initially encouraged quitting intentions, its effect did not sustain over time, emphasizing the need for the controls of society compliance and of policy implementations.
禁烟令旨在减少烟草使用，但其长期有效性仍不确定。本研究调查了土耳其室内禁烟政策对成年人戒烟意愿的短期和长期因果效应。
利用全球成人烟草调查（GATS）的三轮数据（2008年、2012年和2016年），我们分析了2009年7月室内禁烟政策实施前后戒烟意愿的变化。分析包括2008年作为政策实施前时期的数据、2012年作为政策实施后短期的数据以及2016年作为政策实施后长期的数据，以观察初始效应和持续效应。
结果表明，禁令实施后不久有适度的积极影响，在接触禁令的人群中，2012年戒烟意愿的对数几率增加了2%。然而，到2016年，这种影响似乎消失了，长期接触禁令的人群中戒烟意愿的对数几率下降了11%。
总体而言，该研究表明，虽然禁烟令最初鼓励了戒烟意愿，但其效果并未随时间持续，强调了社会合规控制和政策实施的必要性。
