Evaluating the Predictive Capability of Radiomics Features of Perirenal Fat in Enhanced CT Images for Staging and Grading of UTUC Tumours Using Machine Learning.

Upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) often presents with aggressive behaviour, demanding accurate preoperative assessment to guide management. Radiomics-based approaches have shown promise in extracting quantitative features from imaging, yet few studies have explored whether perirenal fat (PRF) radiomics can augment tumour-only models. A retrospective cohort of 103 UTUC patients undergoing radical nephroureterectomy was analysed. Tumour regions of interest (ROI) and concentric PRF expansions (10-30 mm) were segmented from computed tomography (CT) scans. Radiomic features were extracted using PyRadiomics, filtered by correlation and intraclass correlation coefficients, and integrated with clinical variables (e.g., age, BMI, multifocality). Multiple machine learning models, including MLPClassifier and CatBoost, were evaluated via repeated cross-validation. Performance was assessed using the area under the ROC curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, F1-score, and DeLong tests. The best tumour grade model (AUC = 0.961) merged tumour-derived features with a 10 mm PRF margin, exceeding PRF-only (AUC = 0.900) and tumour-only (AUC = 0.934) approaches. However, the improvement over tumour-only was not always statistically significant. For stage prediction, combining tumour and 15 mm PRF features yielded the top AUC of 0.852, surpassing the tumour-alone model (AUC = 0.802) and outperforming PRF-only (AUC ≤ 0.778). PRF features provided an additional predictive value for both grade and stage models. Integrating PRF radiomics with tumour-based analyses enhances predictive accuracy for UTUC grade and stage, suggesting that the tumour microenvironment contains complementary imaging cues. These findings, pending external validation, support the potential for radiomics-driven risk stratification and personalised treatment planning in UTUC.