Li MingDan, Xu YaLi, Zou Jie, Liu Qian, Bao ZhiYan, Zhang XinYi, Zhang Ying, Yang Ping
Department of Infectious Diseases, Affiliated Hospital of Zunyi Medical University, Guizhou, China.
Department of Nursing, Affiliated Hospital of Zunyi Medical University, Guizhou, China.
Sci Rep. 2025 Apr 14;15(1):12769. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-97466-6.
As a predictor of mortality, accidental disability, depressive symptoms, and other adverse outcomes in the older population, social frailty has yet to receive attention among older adults living with HIV/AIDS. Therefore, this study, using Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) and Random Forest (RF), aims to analyze the current status and risk factors of social frailty in older adults living with HIV/AIDS and provides a basis for its prevention and reversal. From January to December 2024, a total of 335 older adults living with HIV/AIDS (≥ 50 years old) receiving outpatient treatment at a tertiary hospital in Zunyi, Guizhou, China, were selected using convenience sampling. Data were collected through a general information questionnaire (demographic and clinical disease), the HALFT scale for social frailty, the Geriatric Depression Scale-15 (GDS-15), the Barthel Index (BI), the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA), the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI), and the Social Support Rating Scale (SSRS). Data processing and analysis were conducted using SPSS 29.0, Python 3.11, and R 4.3.1. Among the 335 older adults living with HIV/AIDS, 105 cases (31.34%) exhibited social frailty. LASSO regression was used for validation, and based on the lambda.min value (λ = 0.0127), 12 relevant variables with non-zero coefficients were selected from 26 variables. These 12 variables were then incorporated into the RF model, which identified that older adults living with HIV/AIDS with reduced activities of daily living (ADL), lack of exercise, cognitive impairment, depression, lower social support, older age, sleep disorders, low CD4 lymphocyte counts, low per capita household income, complications, smoking history, and those enrolled in China's free antiretroviral therapy (ART) program faced a higher risk of social frailty. The top five risk factors in order of importance were ADL, exercise, cognitive impairment, depression, and social support. The incidence of social frailty is relatively high among older adults living with HIV/AIDS. The risk factors include ADL, exercise, cognitive impairment, depression, social support, age, sleep disorders, CD4 lymphocyte count, per capita household income, complications, smoking history, and participation in China's free ART program. This highlights the importance of healthcare institutions and community healthcare workers addressing social frailty in older adults living with HIV/AIDS. Early identification of the risk factors can help prevent or reverse the onset and progression of social frailty, improving prognosis and quality of life. It also provides a theoretical foundation for developing targeted intervention measures.
作为老年人群死亡率、意外残疾、抑郁症状及其他不良后果的预测指标,社会脆弱性在感染艾滋病毒/艾滋病的老年人中尚未受到关注。因此,本研究采用最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)及随机森林(RF)分析法,旨在分析感染艾滋病毒/艾滋病老年人的社会脆弱性现状及危险因素,为其预防和逆转提供依据。2024年1月至12月,采用便利抽样法,选取了在中国贵州省遵义市一家三级医院接受门诊治疗的335名感染艾滋病毒/艾滋病的老年人(≥50岁)。通过一般信息问卷(人口统计学和临床疾病)、社会脆弱性HALFT量表、老年抑郁量表-15(GDS-15)、巴氏指数(BI)、蒙特利尔认知评估量表(MoCA)、匹兹堡睡眠质量指数(PSQI)和社会支持评定量表(SSRS)收集数据。使用SPSS 29.0、Python 3.11和R 4.3.1进行数据处理和分析。在335名感染艾滋病毒/艾滋病的老年人中,105例(31.34%)表现出社会脆弱性。采用LASSO回归进行验证,基于lambda.min值(λ = 0.0127),从26个变量中选取了12个非零系数的相关变量。然后将这12个变量纳入RF模型,该模型确定,日常生活活动能力(ADL)下降、缺乏运动、认知障碍(CI)、抑郁、社会支持较低、年龄较大、睡眠障碍、CD4淋巴细胞计数低、人均家庭收入低、并发症、吸烟史以及参加中国免费抗逆转录病毒治疗(ART)项目的感染艾滋病毒/艾滋病老年人面临更高的社会脆弱性风险。按重要性排序的前五个危险因素依次为ADL、运动、认知障碍、抑郁和社会支持。感染艾滋病毒/艾滋病的老年人中社会脆弱性的发生率相对较高。危险因素包括ADL、运动、认知障碍、抑郁、社会支持、年龄、睡眠障碍、CD4淋巴细胞计数、人均家庭收入、并发症、吸烟史以及参加中国免费ART项目。这凸显了医疗机构和社区医护人员关注感染艾滋病毒/艾滋病老年人社会脆弱性的重要性。早期识别危险因素有助于预防或逆转社会脆弱性的发生和发展,改善预后和生活质量。这也为制定有针对性的干预措施提供了理论基础。