Murrells T J, Catford J C, Smith T M, Machin D
Stat Med. 1985 Apr-Jun;4(2):189-200. doi: 10.1002/sim.4780040209.
Infant mortality data for England and Wales cross-classified by mother's age, parity and social class have only been published for 1949/50 and 1975. Appropriate statistical methodology for the analysis of such data has been described in Paper I, which used the 1975 stillbirth data for illustration. This paper examines the stillbirth data from both years by formally incorporating the year of data collection into the statistical model, enabling changes in the age, parity and social class effects with time to be investigated. Despite a marked reduction in stillbirth mortality from 21.1 to 10.1 per thousand over the period, the relative contribution of social class has increased. In particular there has been a relative increase in risk for mothers in the lower social classes. By contrast the effects of age and parity, although remaining important, have diminished over the period.
按母亲年龄、胎次和社会阶层交叉分类的英格兰和威尔士婴儿死亡率数据仅公布了1949/50年和1975年的。分析此类数据的适当统计方法在第一篇论文中已有描述,该论文以1975年的死产数据为例进行了说明。本文通过将数据收集年份正式纳入统计模型,对这两年的死产数据进行了研究,从而能够调查年龄、胎次和社会阶层效应随时间的变化。尽管在此期间死产死亡率从千分之21.1显著降至千分之10.1,但社会阶层的相对贡献却有所增加。特别是社会阶层较低的母亲的风险相对增加。相比之下,年龄和胎次的影响虽然仍然很重要,但在此期间有所减弱。