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生态系统模型能够预测保护管理决策的后果。

Ecosystem Models Can Predict the Consequences of Conservation Management Decisions.

作者信息

Woodstock Matthew S, Harris Holden E

机构信息

Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies, Rosenstiel School of Marine, Atmospheric, and Earth Science, University of Miami, Miami, Florida, USA.

NOAA Southeast Fisheries Science Center, Miami, Florida, USA.

出版信息

Ecol Lett. 2025 Apr;28(4):e70116. doi: 10.1111/ele.70116.

Abstract

Botelho et al. claimed that ecosystem models cannot make accurate population forecasts and should not be used in conservation management. We agree that producing accurate forecasts from ecosystem models is difficult, but assert that it has been achieved and their utility as a decision-support tool is evident.

摘要

博特略等人声称生态系统模型无法做出准确的种群预测,因此不应将其用于保护管理。我们认同从生态系统模型得出准确预测是困难的,但我们断言这已经实现了,并且其作为决策支持工具的效用是明显的。

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