Arafat Md Eaysir, Kaye Sherrie-Anne, Schroeter Ronald, Haque Md Mazharul
Queensland University of Technology, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Brisbane, Australia.
Queensland University of Technology, Centre for Accident Research and Road Safety- Queensland (CARRS-Q), School of Psychology and Counselling, Brisbane, Australia.
Accid Anal Prev. 2025 Jul;217:108034. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2025.108034. Epub 2025 Apr 17.
Left-turn slip lanes, also known as channelised right-turn lanes in right-hand driving countries, are widely implemented to facilitate left-turning at signalised intersections. However, pedestrian safety on slip lanes is not well known. At unsignalised crosswalks, the joint decision-making process of both pedestrians and motorists is complex, involving joint communication dynamics, yet current research primarily focuses on examining individual decisions. This study proposes a game theory-based approach, formulating the interaction as a two-player, non-cooperative, simultaneous game to examine those joint decision-making dynamics, their resulting behaviours, and associated crash risks. The approach compares two well-known equilibriums of game theory, namely Quantal Response Equilibrium (QRE) and Nash Equilibrium (NE), based on real-world pedestrian-motorist interaction video data collected over two days, each day spanning 12 h, from two slip lanes with zebra crossings at signalised intersections in Brisbane, Australia. Artificial intelligence-based video analytics extracted interaction data, which was modelled using binary logit models to understand the crossing and yielding decisions of pedestrians. Results demonstrate that the QRE outperforms the NE in predicting the crossing intention of pedestrians and the yielding intention of motorists. Results indicate that a) motorists are less likely to yield to pedestrians when the vehicle speed is higher, b) pedestrians are more likely to let the motorists go first if they start crossing from the curbside of the road, and c) motorists are more likely to yield to pedestrians when the distance between pedestrians and vehicles is longer. According to the QRE model, the probability of conflict is 5.8%, indicating that 5.8% of pedestrian interactions with vehicles in these slip lanes result in conflicts. Similarly, the confusion probability indicates that about 5.2% of pedestrians were confused about initiating crossing in the presence of zebra crossing even though drivers yielded them on slip lanes at signalised intersections. This study highlights the significance of using game theory-based approaches to understand road users' behaviour on slip lanes. These findings can help to identify pedestrian crossing intentions and support connected automated vehicles in making stopping decisions to enhance pedestrian safety and reduce potential conflicts with other road users.
在靠右行驶的国家,左转专用车道也被称为渠化右转车道,广泛应用于信号控制交叉口以方便车辆左转。然而,专用车道上的行人安全情况却鲜为人知。在无信号控制的人行横道上,行人和机动车驾驶员的联合决策过程十分复杂,涉及联合沟通动态,但目前的研究主要集中在考察个体决策。本研究提出了一种基于博弈论的方法,将这种互动形式化为一个两人非合作同时博弈,以研究这些联合决策动态、其产生的行为以及相关的碰撞风险。该方法基于在澳大利亚布里斯班信号控制交叉口的两条设有斑马线的专用车道上,连续两天每天12小时收集的真实世界行人和机动车驾驶员互动视频数据,比较了博弈论中两个著名的均衡,即量子响应均衡(QRE)和纳什均衡(NE)。基于人工智能的视频分析提取了互动数据,并使用二元logit模型进行建模,以了解行人的穿越和让行决策。结果表明,在预测行人的穿越意图和机动车驾驶员的让行意图方面,QRE优于NE。结果表明:a)当车速较高时,机动车驾驶员向行人让行的可能性较小;b)如果行人从路边开始穿越马路,他们更有可能让机动车驾驶员先行;c)当行人和车辆之间的距离较长时,机动车驾驶员向行人让行的可能性更大。根据QRE模型,冲突概率为5.8%,这表明在这些专用车道上,5.8%的行人和车辆互动会导致冲突。同样,混淆概率表明,即使驾驶员在信号控制交叉口的专用车道上向他们让行,仍有大约5.2%的行人在有斑马线的情况下对是否开始穿越感到困惑。本研究强调了使用基于博弈论的方法来理解道路使用者在专用车道上行为的重要性。这些发现有助于识别行人的穿越意图,并支持联网自动驾驶车辆做出停车决策,以提高行人安全并减少与其他道路使用者的潜在冲突。