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非自杀性自伤的预测模型——一项基于列线图构建与验证的研究

A predictive model of non-suicidal self-injury - a study based on the construction and validation of a nomogram.

作者信息

Liu YuJie, Wu TaiMin, Yan Shu, Zhou Yang, Liu Lianzhong

机构信息

School of Medicine, Jianghan University, Wuhan, Hubei, China.

Office of Psychosocial Services, Wuhan Mental Health Center, Wuhan, Hubei, China.

出版信息

Front Psychiatry. 2025 Apr 4;16:1539884. doi: 10.3389/fpsyt.2025.1539884. eCollection 2025.

DOI:10.3389/fpsyt.2025.1539884
PMID:40256165
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12006177/
Abstract

BACKGROUND

The issue of psychological maladjustment, particularly Non-Suicidal Self-Injury (NSSI), is prevalent among vocational high school students. Therefore, timely identification of high-risk individuals is important in providing further intervention.

METHODS

A survey was conducted among 2081 students from a vocational high school in Wuhan, China. The students were divided into two groups: those who had engaged in Non-Suicidal Self-Injury (NSSI) within the past two weeks and those who had not. Lasso regression and logistic regression were employed to identify significant risk factors associated with NSSI. Subsequently, a nomogram was developed to enhance the accuracy and efficiency of identifying individuals at high risk for NSSI. The performance of the model was assessed through various validation methods including Area Under the Curve (AUC), calibration curves, and Decision Curve Analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

The significant predictors of NSSI encompassed gender, problem behavior, depressive mood, and borderline personality tendencies. Based on these predictors, a nomogram was constructed. The model's accuracy was validated using AUC, calibration curves, and DCA, showing high accuracy.

CONCLUSION

A nomogram prediction tool for NSSI among vocational high school students was constructed, providing an accurate and quick method for predicting adolescent NSSI behavior.

摘要

背景

心理适应不良问题,尤其是非自杀性自伤行为(NSSI),在职业高中学生中普遍存在。因此,及时识别高危个体对于提供进一步干预至关重要。

方法

对来自中国武汉一所职业高中的2081名学生进行了一项调查。学生被分为两组:在过去两周内有过非自杀性自伤行为(NSSI)的学生和没有此类行为的学生。采用套索回归和逻辑回归来识别与NSSI相关的显著风险因素。随后,绘制了列线图以提高识别NSSI高危个体的准确性和效率。通过包括曲线下面积(AUC)、校准曲线和决策曲线分析(DCA)在内的各种验证方法对模型性能进行评估。

结果

NSSI的显著预测因素包括性别、问题行为、抑郁情绪和边缘型人格倾向。基于这些预测因素,构建了列线图。使用AUC、校准曲线和DCA对模型的准确性进行验证,结果显示准确性较高。

结论

构建了职业高中学生NSSI的列线图预测工具,为预测青少年NSSI行为提供了一种准确、快速的方法。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/01a1/12006177/885dfc4345f2/fpsyt-16-1539884-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/01a1/12006177/1fb9cf190c33/fpsyt-16-1539884-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/01a1/12006177/1132bdf3202d/fpsyt-16-1539884-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/01a1/12006177/c7586127ac78/fpsyt-16-1539884-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/01a1/12006177/536dab3b14fb/fpsyt-16-1539884-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/01a1/12006177/885dfc4345f2/fpsyt-16-1539884-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/01a1/12006177/1fb9cf190c33/fpsyt-16-1539884-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/01a1/12006177/1132bdf3202d/fpsyt-16-1539884-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/01a1/12006177/c7586127ac78/fpsyt-16-1539884-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/01a1/12006177/536dab3b14fb/fpsyt-16-1539884-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/01a1/12006177/885dfc4345f2/fpsyt-16-1539884-g005.jpg

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本文引用的文献

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The Global Prevalence of Nonsuicidal Self-Injury Among Adolescents.青少年非自杀性自伤行为的全球患病率
JAMA Netw Open. 2024 Jun 3;7(6):e2415406. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.15406.
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Profiles and Transitions of Non-Suicidal Self-Injury and Depressive Symptoms among Adolescent Boys and Girls: Predictive Role of Bullying Victimization.青少年男孩和女孩的非自杀性自伤和抑郁症状的特征和转变:受欺凌的预测作用。
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Developmental and Momentary Dynamics in the Onset and Maintenance of Nonsuicidal Self-Injurious Behavior and Borderline Personality Disorder.
非自杀性自伤行为和边缘型人格障碍发作及维持过程中的发展性和即时动态变化
Curr Psychiatry Rep. 2022 Dec;24(12):897-909. doi: 10.1007/s11920-022-01396-3. Epub 2022 Nov 24.
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Gratitude buffers the effects of stressful life events and deviant peer affiliation on adolescents' non-suicidal self-injury.感恩能缓冲生活压力事件和不良同伴关系对青少年非自杀性自伤行为的影响。
Front Psychol. 2022 Sep 30;13:939974. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2022.939974. eCollection 2022.
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Future Directions in Suicide and Self-Injury Revisited: Integrating a Developmental Psychopathology Perspective.未来自杀与自伤研究方向的再审视:整合发展心理病理学视角。
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Getting "clean" from nonsuicidal self-injury: Experiences of addiction on the subreddit r/selfharm.从非自杀性自伤中“戒瘾”:Reddit 社区 r/selfharm 上的成瘾体验。
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