Jiao Liying, Guo Zhen, Zhao Jinzhe, Xu Yan
Department of Psychology, School of Humanities and Social Sciences, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China.
School of Psychology, Nanjing Normal University, Nanjing 210097, China.
Behav Sci (Basel). 2025 Mar 21;15(4):400. doi: 10.3390/bs15040400.
This article explores people's karma belief on the subjective probabilities of future chance events and how perceived life variability influences the expectations of behavior-outcome relationships through three studies. Study 1 used two experiments (Study 1a and 1b) and found that individuals believed that there is a causal association between moral actions and future experiences. People tended to make karmic forecasts that predicted a luckier future (reflected in probability judgments of lucky and unfortunate chance events) for a person who behaved morally than for one who behaved immorally. Finally, we found that individuals rely more heavily on belief in karma (i.e., stronger beliefs about the valence consistency of behaviors and outcomes) when they perceive greater life variability in their lives (Study 2), suggesting that the perceived life variability is a factor in using karma to make predictions.
本文通过三项研究探讨了人们关于未来偶然事件主观概率的因果报应信念，以及感知到的生活变化如何影响对行为-结果关系的期望。研究1使用了两个实验（研究1a和1b），发现个体认为道德行为与未来经历之间存在因果关联。人们倾向于做出因果报应预测，即对于道德行为者，预测其未来会更幸运（体现在幸运和不幸偶然事件的概率判断中），而对于不道德行为者则不然。最后，我们发现当个体感知到生活中有更大的变化时（研究2），他们更依赖因果报应信念（即对行为和结果的效价一致性有更强的信念），这表明感知到的生活变化是利用因果报应进行预测的一个因素。
