Department of Psychology, The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
PLoS One. 2020 Dec 21;15(12):e0244144. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0244144. eCollection 2020.
Three studies (total N = 1486) investigated how inferences about a person's current moral character guide forecasts about that person's future moral character and future misfortunes, and tested several plausible moderating variables. Inferences about current moral character related (very strongly) to forecasts about future moral character and also (less strongly) to forecasts about future misfortunes. These relationships were moderated by two variables: Relations between inferences and forecasts were somewhat weaker when perceivers made judgments about children, compared to judgments about adults, and relations between character inferences and forecasts about misfortunes were somewhat stronger among perceivers who more strongly believed in karma. In contrast, results provided no evidence of any moderating effects due to perceivers' beliefs about the stability of moral dispositions (i.e., implicit personality theories). These results show how dispositional inferences, moral judgments, and beliefs about karmic justice interact to shape forecasts about the future.
三项研究（总样本量=1486）调查了人们对当前道德品质的推断如何指导对该人未来道德品质和未来不幸的预测，并检验了几个可能的调节变量。当前道德品质的推断（非常强烈地）与对未来道德品质的预测相关，也（稍弱地）与对未来不幸的预测相关。这些关系受到两个变量的调节：与推断和预测之间的关系相比，当感知者对儿童做出判断时，关系稍弱，而对成年人做出判断时，与性格推断和对不幸的预测之间的关系在更强烈地相信因果报应的感知者中稍强。相比之下，结果没有提供任何由于感知者对道德倾向稳定性的信念（即内隐人格理论）而产生的调节效应的证据。这些结果表明，特质推断、道德判断和对因果报应正义的信念如何相互作用，从而塑造对未来的预测。
