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两种巨型飞鼠的生态空间建模(松鼠科: ):在东喜马拉雅和印缅生物多样性热点地区探索气候适应力与保护路线图

Eco-Spatial Modeling of Two Giant Flying Squirrels (Sciuridae: ): Navigating Climate Resilience and Conservation Roadmap in the Eastern Himalaya and Indo-Burma Biodiversity Hotspots.

作者信息

Abedin Imon, Kamalakannan Manokaran, Mukherjee Tanoy, Singha Hilloljyoti, Banerjee Dhriti, Kim Hyun-Woo, Kundu Shantanu

机构信息

Department of Zoology, Bodoland University, Kokrajhar 783370, India.

Mammal and Osteology Section, Zoological Survey of India, Kolkata 700053, India.

出版信息

Life (Basel). 2025 Apr 3;15(4):589. doi: 10.3390/life15040589.

Abstract

Global warming and anthropogenic threats are significant drivers of biodiversity loss, particularly impacting smaller mammalian species. Hence, this study assessed two overlooked giant flying squirrel species, and , distributed across the transboundary regions of the Eastern Himalayas and Indo-Burma biodiversity hotspots. Utilizing a maximum entropy (MaxEnt) species distribution model, this study delineated suitable habitats within the IUCN-defined extent of both species based on two modeling approaches: the habitat-climate model (HCM) and the climate-only model (COM). The models identified suitable habitat coverage of only 3.92% (HCM) and 3.75% (COM) for and 14.17% (HCM) and 10.04% (COM) for . However, as the HCM integrates both environmental and habitat variables, providing a more holistic assessment, it revealed limited biological corridor connectivity within the IUCN-defined extent for both species. Furthermore, the future projections based on the HCM indicate habitat loss of up to 81.90% for and 89.88% for due to climate change, alongside severe fragmentation, leading to the disappearance of viable habitat patches. These remaining suitable patches are expected to shrink and become increasingly isolated in the future due to climate change. Furthermore, centroid shift analyses based on the HCM predict a northwestward shift for and a westward shift for under different climate scenarios. Hence, to address these conservation challenges, the study underscores the necessity for extensive field surveys, genetic assessments, habitat corridor evaluations, and the establishment of transboundary conservation frameworks to formulate an evidence-based species management strategy for both species.

摘要

全球变暖和人为威胁是生物多样性丧失的重要驱动因素,对较小的哺乳动物物种影响尤为显著。因此,本研究评估了分布在东喜马拉雅和印缅生物多样性热点地区跨界区域的两种被忽视的飞鼠物种。本研究利用最大熵(MaxEnt)物种分布模型,基于栖息地 - 气候模型(HCM)和仅气候模型(COM)这两种建模方法,在世界自然保护联盟(IUCN)定义的两种物种范围内划定了适宜栖息地。模型确定,对于一种飞鼠,适宜栖息地覆盖率仅为3.92%(HCM)和3.75%(COM);对于另一种飞鼠,适宜栖息地覆盖率分别为14.17%(HCM)和10.04%(COM)。然而,由于HCM整合了环境和栖息地变量,提供了更全面的评估,它揭示了在IUCN定义的范围内,两种物种的生物走廊连通性有限。此外,基于HCM的未来预测表明,由于气候变化,一种飞鼠的栖息地丧失高达81.90%,另一种飞鼠高达89.88%,同时伴随着严重的碎片化,导致可行栖息地斑块消失。由于气候变化,这些剩余的适宜斑块预计未来会缩小并变得越来越孤立。此外,基于HCM的质心转移分析预测,在不同气候情景下,一种飞鼠将向西北方向移动,另一种飞鼠将向西移动。因此,为应对这些保护挑战,该研究强调有必要进行广泛的实地调查、遗传评估、栖息地走廊评估,并建立跨界保护框架,以便为两种飞鼠制定基于证据的物种管理策略。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5f37/12028898/77e7885ae3a4/life-15-00589-g001.jpg

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