Marzoque Hercules José, Batista Marcelo Linon, Nääs Irenilza de Alencar, de Alencar Maria do Carmo Baracho
University Paulista, Department Graduate Program in Production Engineering, São Paulo, Brazil.
Federal Institute of Bahia-campus Jacobina, Department of Health and Safety at Work, Bahia, Brazil.
Work. 2025 Aug;81(4):3170-3183. doi: 10.1177/10519815251329261. Epub 2025 Apr 28.
BackgroundWork-related musculoskeletal disorders (WMSDs) are common in Brazilian slaughterhouses. The repetitive and strenuous nature of meat processing, especially in slaughterhouses, makes employees highly susceptible to developing WMSDs. Prolonged standing, repetitive motions, and forceful actions such as lifting and cutting are common contributing factors.ObjectiveThis study aimed to develop models to predict the risk of aggravating WMSDs in slaughterhouse workers using the data mining concept.MethodsData were retrieved from an open-source governmental database, and descriptive statistics were used to evaluate them. The data set involved organizational aspects, and demographic, physical, and health issues were attributes. A descriptive analysis was applied, and the data mining method was used to process data with the Random Forest algorithm to classify the aggravation of WMSDs'.ResultsThree tree-ensemble predictive models were found (accuracy = 95.3%, κappa = 0.93) and described using the "If-Then" rules. The first tree had as the root attribute the change of function due to a health condition (high blood pressure or diabetes), followed by medical leave, working time, change of working place, and age, and the second had the worker's age as the root attribute, followed by working time, sex, and age. The third tree's root attribute was musculoskeletal pain symptoms, followed by working hours, age, and working time. Workers who do not change their roles and are on medical leave for over 1642.5 days present a high risk of worsening symptoms. Working time over 1980 days leads to a high risk of aggravating WMSDs. Females older than 24.5 years and staying more than 1620 days in the same function also presented a high risk of aggravating the WMSDs.ConclusionsThe machine learning models might help prevent WMSD risk aggravation by sorting the available data set and identifying patterns and relationships.
背景
与工作相关的肌肉骨骼疾病(WMSDs)在巴西的屠宰场很常见。肉类加工工作的重复性和高强度性质,尤其是在屠宰场,使得员工极易患上WMSDs。长时间站立、重复动作以及诸如搬运和切割等用力动作是常见的促成因素。
目的
本研究旨在利用数据挖掘概念开发模型,以预测屠宰场工人WMSDs病情加重的风险。
方法
数据从一个开源政府数据库中获取,并使用描述性统计进行评估。数据集涉及组织方面,人口统计学、身体和健康问题为属性。应用描述性分析,并使用数据挖掘方法和随机森林算法处理数据,以对WMSDs病情加重进行分类。
结果
发现了三个树集成预测模型(准确率 = 95.3%,kappa系数 = 0.93),并使用“如果 - 那么”规则进行描述。第一棵树以因健康状况(高血压或糖尿病)导致的功能变化作为根属性,其次是病假、工作时间、工作地点变化和年龄;第二棵树以工人年龄作为根属性,其次是工作时间、性别和年龄。第三棵树的根属性是肌肉骨骼疼痛症状,其次是工作时长、年龄和工作时间。不更换工作岗位且病假超过1642.5天的工人症状恶化风险高。工作时间超过1980天会导致WMSDs病情加重的高风险。年龄超过24.5岁且在同一岗位工作超过1620天的女性也有WMSDs病情加重的高风险。
结论
机器学习模型通过对可用数据集进行分类并识别模式和关系,可能有助于预防WMSD风险加重。