Heikkilä Katriina, Pentti Jaana, Chungkham Holendro Singh, Suominen Sakari, Kivimäki Mika, Zaninotto Paola, Ervasti Jenni, Vahtera Jussi, Stenholm Sari
Department of Public Health, University of Turku and Turku University Hospital, Turku, Finland.
Centre for Population Health Research, University of Turku and Turku University Hospital, Turku, Finland.
J Multimorb Comorb. 2025 Apr 15;15:26335565251331187. doi: 10.1177/26335565251331187. eCollection 2025 Jan-Dec.
Individual diseases are important risk factors for early exit from the labour force among older adults, but the contribution of multimorbidity to working life expectancy (WLE) is unclear.
We used data from two prospective cohort studies: Finnish Public Sector study (FPS) and Health and Social Support Study (HeSSup). Multimorbidity at baseline was ascertained from a combination of self-reported, physician-diagnosed chronic diseases, and nationwide cancer and medication reimbursement registers. WLE from age 50 up to 68 years was ascertained utilising linked data from a nationwide register of pensionable earnings. WLE was estimated utilising a multi-state models in R.
Our findings were based on data from 56,079 women and 17,078 men aged ≥50 years. In FPS, women and men with two chronic diseases could expect to work about 9 months less and those with three or more chronic diseases could expect to work about a year less than those with no chronic disease. In HeSSup, women and men with three or more diseases had about 2-3 years shorter WLEs than those with no disease. In both studies participants with physical-mental multimorbidity had 3-12 months shorter WLEs and individuals with multimorbidity comprising two physical diseases had 8-10 months shorter WLEs than those with no chronic disease. The patterns were similar across the socioeconomic positions.
Women and men with multiple chronic diseases could expect to work ∼1 year less than those with no chronic disease. The differences in WLE can have important economic implications to individuals, health services and society.
个体疾病是老年人过早退出劳动力市场的重要风险因素,但多病共存对工作预期寿命(WLE)的影响尚不清楚。
我们使用了两项前瞻性队列研究的数据:芬兰公共部门研究(FPS)和健康与社会支持研究(HeSSup)。基线时的多病共存情况通过自我报告、医生诊断的慢性病、全国癌症和药物报销登记册综合确定。利用全国可领取养老金收入登记册的关联数据确定50岁至68岁的WLE。使用R语言中的多状态模型估计WLE。
我们的研究结果基于56079名年龄≥50岁的女性和17078名男性的数据。在FPS中,患有两种慢性病的女性和男性的工作预期时间比无慢性病者少约9个月,患有三种或更多慢性病的女性和男性则少约1年。在HeSSup中,患有三种或更多疾病的女性和男性的WLE比无疾病者短约2 - 3年。在两项研究中,患有身心多病共存者的WLE比无慢性病者短3 - 12个月,患有两种身体疾病的多病共存者短8 - 10个月。社会经济地位不同,模式相似。
患有多种慢性病的女性和男性工作预期时间比无慢性病者少约1年。WLE的差异可能对个人、卫生服务和社会产生重要的经济影响。