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青少年幸福感的预测因素:对2023年韩国青少年风险行为调查的随机森林分析

Predictive factors of adolescents' happiness: a random forest analysis of the 2023 Korea Youth Risk Behavior Survey.

作者信息

Kim Eun Joo, Kim Seong Kwang, Jung Seung Hye, Ryu Yo Seop

机构信息

Associate Professor, Department of Nursing, Gangneung-Wonju National University, Wonju, Korea.

PhD Student, Department of Nursing, Gangneung-Wonju National University, Wonju, Korea.

出版信息

Child Health Nurs Res. 2025 Apr;31(2):85-95. doi: 10.4094/chnr.2024.049. Epub 2025 Apr 30.

Abstract

PURPOSE

This study aimed to identify predictive factors affecting adolescents' subjective happiness using data from the 2023 Korea Youth Risk Behavior Survey. A random forest model was applied to determine the strongest predictive factors, and its predictive performance was compared with traditional regression models.

METHODS

Responses from a total of 44,320 students from grades 7 to 12 were analyzed. Data pre-processing involved handling missing values and selecting variables to construct an optimal dataset. The random forest model was employed for prediction, and SHAP (Shapley Additive Explanations) analysis was used to assess variable importance.

RESULTS

The random forest model demonstrated a stable predictive performance, with an R2 of .37. Mental and physical health factors were found to significantly affect subjective happiness. Adolescents' subjective happiness was most strongly influenced by perceived stress, perceived health, experiences of loneliness, generalized anxiety disorder, suicidal ideation, economic status, fatigue recovery from sleep, and academic performance.

CONCLUSION

This study highlights the utility of machine learning in identifying factors influencing adolescents' subjective happiness, addressing limitations of traditional regression approaches. These findings underscore the need for multidimensional interventions to improve mental and physical health, reduce stress and loneliness, and provide integrated support from schools and communities to enhance adolescents' subjective happiness.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在利用2023年韩国青少年风险行为调查的数据,确定影响青少年主观幸福感的预测因素。应用随机森林模型确定最强预测因素,并将其预测性能与传统回归模型进行比较。

方法

对7至12年级的44320名学生的回答进行了分析。数据预处理包括处理缺失值和选择变量以构建最佳数据集。采用随机森林模型进行预测,并使用SHAP(Shapley加性解释)分析来评估变量的重要性。

结果

随机森林模型表现出稳定的预测性能,R2为0.37。发现心理和身体健康因素对主观幸福感有显著影响。青少年的主观幸福感受感知压力、感知健康、孤独体验、广泛性焦虑症、自杀意念、经济状况、睡眠疲劳恢复和学业成绩的影响最大。

结论

本研究强调了机器学习在识别影响青少年主观幸福感因素方面的实用性,克服了传统回归方法的局限性。这些发现强调了需要采取多维度干预措施,以改善心理和身体健康,减轻压力和孤独感,并由学校和社区提供综合支持,以提高青少年的主观幸福感。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c9b5/12056255/9c21da197666/chnr-2024-049f1.jpg

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