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基于机器学习算法的高危妊娠预测

Prediction of high-risk pregnancy based on machine learning algorithms.

作者信息

Pi Xinyu, Wang Junzhi, Chu Liangliang, Zhang Guochun, Zhang Wenli

机构信息

School of Nursing, Shandong First Medical University (Shandong Academy of Medical Sciences), Jinan, 250117, Shandong, China.

Department of Obstetrics, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University (Shandong Provincial Qianfoshan Hospital), Jinan, 250014, Shandong, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 May 4;15(1):15561. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-00450-3.

DOI:10.1038/s41598-025-00450-3
PMID:40319080
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12049423/
Abstract

This study explores the application of machine learning algorithms in predicting high-risk pregnancy among expectant mothers, aiming to construct an efficient predictive model to improve maternal health management. The study is based on the maternal health risk dataset (MHRD) from Bangladesh, covering multiple hospitals, community clinics, and maternal healthcare centers, and encompassing health data from 1014 pregnant women. Six machine learning algorithms-multilayer perceptron (MLP), logistic regression (LR), decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and support vector machine (SVM)-are employed to construct predictive models. It is worth noting that MLP demonstrates superior performance compared with the other five algorithms. By applying the MLP method, the study successfully established an efficient pregnancy risk prediction model. The model evaluation results indicate that it has high accuracy in predicting pregnancy risks, with an overall accuracy rate of 82%, and particularly high accuracy in high-risk predictions, reaching 91%. With the computational support of an NVIDIA GPU RTX3050Ti, the model demonstrated excellent data processing capabilities, capable of predicting and processing 500 sets of data items per second. This study not only showcases the enormous potential of machine learning technology in the healthcare field, especially in the rapid and accurate identification of high-risk pregnancies, providing a powerful decision-support tool for medical professionals, but also offers significant reference value for future research in this area.

摘要

本研究探讨机器学习算法在预测孕妇高危妊娠中的应用,旨在构建一个高效的预测模型以改善孕产妇健康管理。该研究基于孟加拉国的孕产妇健康风险数据集(MHRD),涵盖多家医院、社区诊所和孕产妇保健中心,包含1014名孕妇的健康数据。采用六种机器学习算法——多层感知器(MLP)、逻辑回归(LR)、决策树(DT)、随机森林(RF)、极端梯度提升(XGBoost)和支持向量机(SVM)——来构建预测模型。值得注意的是,与其他五种算法相比,MLP表现出卓越的性能。通过应用MLP方法,该研究成功建立了一个高效的妊娠风险预测模型。模型评估结果表明,它在预测妊娠风险方面具有较高的准确性,总体准确率为82%,在高危预测方面准确率尤其高,达到91%。在NVIDIA GPU RTX3050Ti的计算支持下,该模型展示了出色的数据处理能力,能够每秒预测和处理500组数据项。本研究不仅展示了机器学习技术在医疗保健领域的巨大潜力,特别是在快速准确识别高危妊娠方面,为医学专业人员提供了一个强大的决策支持工具,而且为该领域未来的研究提供了重要的参考价值。

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本文引用的文献

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Advancing comprehensive care for high-risk pregnancies: integrating social and clinical perspectives.
Am J Obstet Gynecol. 2025 Jun;232(6):e220. doi: 10.1016/j.ajog.2025.02.002. Epub 2025 Feb 7.
2
Design and analysis of a telemonitoring system for high-risk pregnant women in need of special care or attention.高危孕妇特殊护理或关注需求的远程监测系统设计与分析
BMC Pregnancy Childbirth. 2024 Dec 18;24(1):817. doi: 10.1186/s12884-024-07019-4.
3
Predicting maternal risk level using machine learning models.使用机器学习模型预测孕产妇风险水平。
BMC Pregnancy Childbirth. 2024 Dec 18;24(1):820. doi: 10.1186/s12884-024-07030-9.
4
Improving Care Beyond Birth: A Qualitative Study of Postpartum Care After High-Risk Pregnancy.超越分娩的护理改善:一项关于高危妊娠后产后护理的定性研究。
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Machine learning-enabled maternal risk assessment for women with pre-eclampsia (the PIERS-ML model): a modelling study.基于机器学习的子痫前期孕妇风险评估(PIERS-ML 模型):一项建模研究。
Lancet Digit Health. 2024 Apr;6(4):e238-e250. doi: 10.1016/S2589-7500(23)00267-4.
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Prediction of 2-Year Cognitive Outcomes in Very Preterm Infants Using Machine Learning Methods.采用机器学习方法预测极早产儿 2 年认知结局。
JAMA Netw Open. 2023 Dec 1;6(12):e2349111. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.49111.
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Preeclampsia Prediction Using Machine Learning and Polygenic Risk Scores From Clinical and Genetic Risk Factors in Early and Late Pregnancies.利用机器学习和来自早孕期和晚孕期临床及遗传危险因素的多基因风险评分预测子痫前期。
Hypertension. 2024 Feb;81(2):264-272. doi: 10.1161/HYPERTENSIONAHA.123.21053. Epub 2023 Oct 30.
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A self-inspected adaptive SMOTE algorithm (SASMOTE) for highly imbalanced data classification in healthcare.一种用于医疗保健中高度不平衡数据分类的自检测自适应合成少数过采样技术算法(SASMOTE)。
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