Ma Shijing, Zhu Yingying, Pu Changhong, Li Jin, Zhong Bin
School of Basic Medical Sciences, Youjiang Medical University for Nationalities, Baise City, China.
Department of Radiology, Affiliated Hospital of Youjiang Medical University for Nationalities, Baise City, China.
Pol J Radiol. 2025 Mar 24;90:e140-e150. doi: 10.5114/pjr/200631. eCollection 2025.
To evaluate the performance of a combined clinical-radiomics model using multiple machine learning approaches for predicting pathological differentiation in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).
A total of 196 patients with pathologically confirmed HCC, who underwent preoperative computed tomography (CT) were retrospectively enrolled (training: = 156; validation: = 40). The modelling process included the folowing: (1) clinical model construction through logistic regression analysis of risk factors; (2) radiomics model development by comparing 6 machine learning classifiers; and (3) integration of optimal clinical and radiomic features into a combined model. Model performance was assessed using the area under the curve (AUC), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). A nomogram was constructed for clinical implementation.
Two clinical risk factors (BMI and CA153) were identified as independent predictors of differentiated HCC. The clinical model showed moderate performance (AUC: training = 0.705, validation = 0.658). The radiomics model demonstrated improved prediction capability (AUC: training = 0.840, validation = 0.716). The combined model achieved the best performance in differentiating HCC pathological grades (AUC: training = 0.878, validation = 0.747).
The integration of CT radiomics features with clinical parameters through machine learning provides a promising non-invasive approach for predicting HCC pathological differentiation. This combined model could serve as a valuable tool for preoperative treatment planning.
评估使用多种机器学习方法的临床-放射组学联合模型预测肝细胞癌(HCC)病理分化的性能。
回顾性纳入196例经病理证实的HCC患者,这些患者均接受了术前计算机断层扫描(CT)(训练组:n = 156;验证组:n = 40)。建模过程包括以下内容:(1)通过对危险因素进行逻辑回归分析构建临床模型;(2)通过比较6种机器学习分类器开发放射组学模型;(3)将最佳临床和放射组学特征整合到联合模型中。使用曲线下面积(AUC)、校准曲线和决策曲线分析(DCA)评估模型性能。构建列线图用于临床应用。
确定了两个临床危险因素(BMI和CA153)为分化型HCC的独立预测因子。临床模型表现中等(AUC:训练组 = 0.705,验证组 = 0.658)。放射组学模型显示出更好的预测能力(AUC:训练组 = 0.840,验证组 = 0.716)。联合模型在区分HCC病理分级方面表现最佳(AUC:训练组 = 0.878,验证组 = 0.747)。
通过机器学习将CT放射组学特征与临床参数相结合,为预测HCC病理分化提供了一种有前景的非侵入性方法。这种联合模型可作为术前治疗规划的有价值工具。