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在伊朗某地区利用高分辨率卫星数据估算因空气中细颗粒物导致的寿命损失年数。

Years of Life Lost Attributable to Estimated Air PM Using High-Resolution Satellite Data in a Region of Iran.

作者信息

Soleimani Samira, Aboubakri Omid, Maleki Afshin, Rezaee Reza, Fathi Serveh, Safari Mahdi, Rahmati Shoboo

机构信息

Student Research Committee, Department of Environmental Health Engineering, School of Public Health, Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Iran.

Environmental Health Research Center, Research Institute for Health Development, Kurdistan University of Medical Sciences, Sanandaj, Iran.

出版信息

Environ Health Insights. 2025 Apr 30;19:11786302251329853. doi: 10.1177/11786302251329853. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

In this study, we aimed to investigate the impact of predicted particulates with a diameter of 2.5 μm or less (PM) using the satellite data on Years of Life Lost (YLL) as a health burden of air pollution. A 2-stage methodology was used in order to predict PM using Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD). The predicted PM was corrected for its bias through Bland-Altman method and observed data. Relative Risk (RR), Attributable Fraction (AF), and Attributable Number (AN) of YLL were estimated as the effect of PM on health. Based on the minimum value as the optimum value of PM, statistically a significant cumulative dose-response association was found. The significant association was mainly observed between lags 4 and 13. Also, based on the scenario, the total estimated YLL attributable to air pollution was 74227 years, with an AF of 0.45 which was statistically significant (95% CI: 0.14, 0.65). Based on the median value as the second scenario, there was not cumulative significant dose-response association. The subgroup analysis revealed that females and the elderly exhibited higher PM-related YLL compared to males and younger, respectively. Totally, the study revealed that impact of the predicted PM on YLL was significant when we selected the minimum value as reference. While, the impact was insignificant when we changed it to median value. This result highlights the important effect of reference value selection on the interpretation of dose-response and lag-response associations between PM and YLL which should be addressed in next studies.

摘要

在本研究中,我们旨在利用卫星数据调查直径为2.5微米及以下的预测颗粒物(PM)对空气污染造成的健康负担——寿命损失年数(YLL)的影响。我们采用两阶段方法,通过气溶胶光学厚度(AOD)预测PM。通过Bland-Altman方法和观测数据对预测的PM进行偏差校正。估计YLL的相对风险(RR)、归因分数(AF)和归因数(AN),作为PM对健康的影响。以最小值作为PM的最佳值,在统计学上发现了显著的累积剂量-反应关联。显著关联主要出现在滞后4至13之间。此外,根据情景分析,空气污染导致的YLL估计总数为74227年,AF为0.45,具有统计学意义(95%CI:0.14,0.65)。以中位数作为第二种情景,不存在累积显著剂量-反应关联。亚组分析显示,女性和老年人的PM相关YLL分别高于男性和年轻人。总体而言,该研究表明,当我们选择最小值作为参考时,预测的PM对YLL的影响显著。而当我们将其改为中位数时,影响不显著。这一结果凸显了参考值选择对解释PM与YLL之间的剂量-反应和滞后-反应关联的重要影响,后续研究应予以关注。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b659/12046179/0b45a303ad7b/10.1177_11786302251329853-fig1.jpg

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