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1990年至2021年60岁及以上成年人缺血性卒中的全球负担:基于人群的研究。

Global burden of ischemic stroke in adults aged 60 years and older from 1990 to 2021: Population-based study.

作者信息

Chen Xiuen, Lu Lizhi, Xiao Chao, Lan Yining, Zhong Songxin, Qin Chao, Tang Yanyan

机构信息

Department of Neurology, Liuzhou People's Hospital Affiliated to Guangxi Medical University, Liuzhou, Guangxi Province, China.

Department of Neurology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, Guangxi Province, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2025 May 5;20(5):e0322606. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0322606. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Ischemic stroke is an important public health problem. However, comprehensive data on its burden in aging populations is limited. The aim of this study is to provide an up-to-date assessment of the prevalence, incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years, and risk factors for ischemic stroke globally in adults aged 60 years and older from 1990 to 2021 based on population changes.

METHODS

The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2021 served as the data source for this study. Average annual percentage changes were estimated over the study period to quantify temporal patterns and assess trends in age-standardized rates of the prevalence, incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years of ischemic stroke.

RESULTS

The significant increase in the prevalence and incidence of ischemic stroke is mainly related to population ageing and the significant increase in the number of people over 60 years of age, with the significant increase in the population over 60 years of age being the main driving force, while epidemiological changes have had the opposite effect. Critically, using the entire age population for calculations will prompt us to underestimate the burden of ischemic stroke. The burden of ischemic stroke disease is highest in older men than in older women, and the age-standardized prevalence rates, incidence rates, mortality rates, and disability-adjusted life-years rates are 26-35% higher in men than in women. High-middle sociodemographic index and Sub-Saharan Africa regions suffer the heaviest burden. Ischemic stroke health inequities widen, with less developed regions bearing a heavier ischemic stroke burden and the disparity in that burden becoming more pronounced over time.

CONCLUSION

Population aging is the primary driver of the growing burden of ischemic stroke. Our findings indicate that prevention and control of this disease remain critical public health challenges. Targeted interventions addressing modifiable risk factors could significantly reduce the global burden of ischemic stroke.

摘要

背景

缺血性中风是一个重要的公共卫生问题。然而,关于其在老年人群中负担的全面数据有限。本研究的目的是基于人口变化,对1990年至2021年全球60岁及以上成年人缺血性中风的患病率、发病率、死亡率、伤残调整生命年和危险因素提供最新评估。

方法

2021年全球疾病、伤害及危险因素负担研究作为本研究的数据源。在研究期间估计年均百分比变化,以量化时间模式并评估缺血性中风患病率、发病率、死亡率和伤残调整生命年的年龄标准化率趋势。

结果

缺血性中风患病率和发病率的显著增加主要与人口老龄化以及60岁以上人口数量的显著增加有关,其中60岁以上人口的显著增加是主要驱动力,而流行病学变化则起到了相反的作用。关键的是,使用全年龄人口进行计算会促使我们低估缺血性中风的负担。老年男性的缺血性中风疾病负担高于老年女性,男性的年龄标准化患病率、发病率、死亡率和伤残调整生命年率比女性高26% - 35%。社会人口统计学指数中高分组和撒哈拉以南非洲地区负担最重。缺血性中风的健康不平等加剧,欠发达地区承受着更重的缺血性中风负担,且这种负担差距随着时间推移变得更加明显。

结论

人口老龄化是缺血性中风负担不断增加的主要驱动因素。我们的研究结果表明,预防和控制这种疾病仍然是关键的公共卫生挑战。针对可改变危险因素的有针对性干预措施可显著降低全球缺血性中风负担。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e4a8/12052125/d7130354c517/pone.0322606.g001.jpg

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