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基于长短期记忆网络-Transformer的超大直径盾构姿态预测

Prediction of super-large diameter shield attitude based on LSTM-Transformer.

作者信息

Dai Linfabao, Chen Wenming, Xiao Mingqing, Sun Wenhao, Wang Zhengzheng

机构信息

China Railway Siyuan Survey and Design Group Co., Ltd., Wuhan, Hubei, China.

National & Local Joint Engineering Research Center of Underwater Tunnelling Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 May 5;15(1):15725. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-98428-8.

DOI:10.1038/s41598-025-98428-8
PMID:40325129
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12053611/
Abstract

Accurate control of shield tunneling attitude is a critical technology for ensuring construction safety and tunnel quality. With the rapid development of urban underground space, the construction of ultra-large-diameter shield tunnels has become increasingly common. However, the high precision requirements for attitude control and the complex dynamic responses during construction pose significant challenges, which traditional prediction methods struggle to address. To tackle this technical challenge, this study proposes an LSTM-Transformer prediction model that integrates long short term memory (LSTM) networks for temporal feature extraction with Transformer's global attention mechanism. The model predicts four key shield attitude parameters and is validated using field data from the Jiangyin-Jingjiang Yangtze river tunnel project, with comparative analysis against existing models. The research results show that: (1) The LSTM-Transformer attitude prediction model achieves an R value of 0.881 and a mean absolute error (MAE) value of 2.24 mm, outperforming existing models in prediction accuracy; (2) Feature importance analysis reveals the key parameters that should be prioritized during shield attitude adjustment, providing a theoretical basis for dynamic attitude control; (3) The model effectively provides early warnings for shield attitude deviation risks, significantly enhancing construction safety and efficiency. The research provides important theoretical support and practical references for shield attitude prediction and risk warning in similar engineering projects.

摘要

精确控制盾构隧道姿态是确保施工安全和隧道质量的关键技术。随着城市地下空间的快速发展,超大直径盾构隧道的建设越来越普遍。然而,姿态控制的高精度要求以及施工过程中复杂的动态响应带来了重大挑战,传统预测方法难以应对。为应对这一技术挑战,本研究提出了一种LSTM-Transformer预测模型,该模型将用于时间特征提取的长短期记忆(LSTM)网络与Transformer的全局注意力机制相结合。该模型预测盾构姿态的四个关键参数,并利用江阴靖江长江隧道项目的现场数据进行验证,同时与现有模型进行对比分析。研究结果表明:(1)LSTM-Transformer姿态预测模型的R值为0.881,平均绝对误差(MAE)值为2.24毫米,在预测精度上优于现有模型;(2)特征重要性分析揭示了盾构姿态调整过程中应优先考虑的关键参数,为动态姿态控制提供了理论依据;(3)该模型有效地为盾构姿态偏差风险提供早期预警,显著提高了施工安全性和效率。该研究为类似工程项目中的盾构姿态预测和风险预警提供了重要的理论支持和实践参考。

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