Wen Jun, Wang Changfen, Liu Ranyang, Zhuang Rongjuan, Liu Yan, Li Yishi, Guo Shuliang
Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Department of Cardiology, People's Hospital of Qianxinan Prefecture, Xingyi City, Guizhou Province, China.
Biometals. 2025 Jun;38(3):983-995. doi: 10.1007/s10534-025-00690-w. Epub 2025 May 7.
Epidemiological research examining the relationship between urinary cadmium and the risk of chronic cough remains scarce. This study included 2965 participants for a cross-sectional study from the NHANES. The weighted quantile sum (WQS) regression, bayesian kernel machine regression (BKMR), machine learning models (support vector machines, random forests, decision trees, and XGBoost), restricted cubic spline (RCS), and logistic regression were applied to comprehensively evaluate the performance of urinary metals in predicting chronic cough risk. Finally, the mediation effect model was employed to evaluate the role of systematic inflammation in the relationship between urinary cadmium and the risk of chronic cough. Urinary cadmium correlated with an increasing risk of chronic cough in the multivariate logistic regression model (OR: 2.83, 95% CI: 1.60-4.99). Both the WQS regression and BKMR consistently suggested a positive relationship between urinary mixed metal and chronic cough risk. Among the four machine learning models used to evaluate urinary metals and the risk of chronic cough, the random forests model showed better predictive performance (AUC = 0.69). The random forests suggested that the top five important indicators for predicting chronic cough risk were urinary cadmium, thallium, molybdenum, cesium, and uranium. Finally, the mediation effect model suggested that the systematic inflammation (lymphocytes: 4.24%, systemic immune inflammation index: 5.11%) partially mediated the relationship between urinary cadmium and chronic cough risk. This study discovered that urinary cadmium was elevated in correlation with the increasing risk of chronic cough. Systematic inflammations may partially mediate this association. Improving exposure to urinary cadmium may reduce the risk of chronic cough.
关于尿镉与慢性咳嗽风险之间关系的流行病学研究仍然很少。本研究纳入了来自美国国家健康与营养检查调查(NHANES)的2965名参与者进行横断面研究。应用加权分位数和(WQS)回归、贝叶斯核机器回归(BKMR)、机器学习模型(支持向量机、随机森林、决策树和XGBoost)、受限立方样条(RCS)和逻辑回归,全面评估尿金属在预测慢性咳嗽风险方面的表现。最后,采用中介效应模型评估系统性炎症在尿镉与慢性咳嗽风险关系中的作用。在多变量逻辑回归模型中,尿镉与慢性咳嗽风险增加相关(比值比:2.83,95%置信区间:1.60 - 4.99)。WQS回归和BKMR均一致表明尿混合金属与慢性咳嗽风险呈正相关。在用于评估尿金属与慢性咳嗽风险的四种机器学习模型中,随机森林模型显示出更好的预测性能(曲线下面积 = 0.69)。随机森林表明,预测慢性咳嗽风险的前五项重要指标是尿镉、铊、钼、铯和铀。最后,中介效应模型表明,系统性炎症(淋巴细胞:4.24%,全身免疫炎症指数:5.11%)部分介导了尿镉与慢性咳嗽风险之间的关系。本研究发现,尿镉升高与慢性咳嗽风险增加相关。系统性炎症可能部分介导这种关联。改善尿镉暴露情况可能会降低慢性咳嗽的风险。